{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cd39d4c2-d3b7-454e-a196-d4543f90a21a",
    "symbol": "KCC",
    "name": "Knight Club Capital Holding Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 40.247,
    "architecture_energy": 27.702,
    "architecture_maturity": 70.79,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.468,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.54,
        "rotation_up": 26.05,
        "upward_expansion": 58.39,
        "deceleration": 91.14,
        "rotation_down": 27.75,
        "downward_expansion": 22.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.906667,
        2.985455,
        2.826238,
        2.642015
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.86,
    "trend_reference": 2.439487,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.172377,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.619319,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.091887,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.323675,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.363427,
    "excess_performance": 0.171102,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.172377,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104344,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091887,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.396324,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003237,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.202725,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.363427,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.727589,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1567300,
      "relative_activity": 0.557172,
      "balance": 1.727589,
      "dry_up": 0.533674,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.092792,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.497459,
      "from_high_reference": -0.125803,
      "from_low_reference": 0.846131
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.439487,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.619319,
      "structural_low": 1.549186,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.072676,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.101623,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.008475,
        "worst_return": -0.202703,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.132448,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.222103,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.101562,
        "worst_return": -0.324324,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.313265,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.276814,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.220558,
        "worst_return": -0.405971,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.122389,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016752,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": -0.122389,
        "worst_return": -0.122389,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.370129,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.147727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.032467,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.256757,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.144737,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.141164,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.056737,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 815665.0,
        "trend": 2.22052,
        "fair_value": 2.855644,
        "relative_strength": -21.085622,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 35.19613,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.954,
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          2.113729
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 828555.0,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 1356125.0,
        "trend": 2.191238,
        "fair_value": 2.810126,
        "relative_strength": 0.842833,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 8.36574,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.151333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 2021250.0,
        "trend": 2.191794,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.1552,
        "energy": 28.105058,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.286,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 2872115.0,
        "trend": 2.208992,
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        "relative_strength": 12.809715,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 55.317264,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 658100,
        "typical_volume": 2897080.0,
        "trend": 2.23009,
        "fair_value": 2.745203,
        "relative_strength": 12.681848,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 89.420773,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 2.251829,
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        "relative_strength": 11.36757,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 17.947446,
        "stage": 3,
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        "direction": 83.84408,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 2997940.0,
        "trend": 2.307922,
        "fair_value": 2.697272,
        "relative_strength": 20.052683,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.089168,
        "energy": 91.752559,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.1,
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          2.522421,
          2.405524
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 3.14,
        "volume": 396700,
        "typical_volume": 2971980.0,
        "trend": 2.335611,
        "fair_value": 2.686093,
        "relative_strength": 12.799454,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 70.817486,
        "energy": 88.264816,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.126667,
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          2.459207
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3.06,
        "volume": 1922200,
        "typical_volume": 2997035.0,
        "trend": 2.361274,
        "fair_value": 2.674992,
        "relative_strength": 8.59789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.392687,
        "energy": 66.239371,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.114667,
          3.013636,
          2.66315,
          2.505941
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.08,
        "volume": 1383700,
        "typical_volume": 2748465.0,
        "trend": 2.387604,
        "fair_value": 2.662542,
        "relative_strength": 7.311983,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.784617,
        "energy": 62.885879,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.105333,
          3.055636,
          2.725003,
          2.552311
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.88,
        "volume": 2060600,
        "typical_volume": 2768500.0,
        "trend": 2.403419,
        "fair_value": 2.647629,
        "relative_strength": -0.43065,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.882413,
        "energy": 47.297175,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.024,
          3.041091,
          2.764048,
          2.584078
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.86,
        "volume": 993200,
        "typical_volume": 2751590.0,
        "trend": 2.418566,
        "fair_value": 2.632883,
        "relative_strength": -0.468408,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.460051,
        "energy": 36.778332,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.954667,
          3.016727,
          2.797095,
          2.613535
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.86,
        "volume": 1567300,
        "typical_volume": 2812955.0,
        "trend": 2.439487,
        "fair_value": 2.619319,
        "relative_strength": -0.323675,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.246502,
        "energy": 27.701646,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.906667,
          2.985455,
          2.826238,
          2.642015
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}