{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cd44bef7-7897-4a10-a2eb-e3d4464050dc",
    "symbol": "PROF-B",
    "name": "ProfilGruppen AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 92.025,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 61.726,
    "architecture_energy": 85.815,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.598,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.813,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.28,
        "rotation_up": 81.51,
        "upward_expansion": 69.66,
        "deceleration": 20.83,
        "rotation_down": 16.01,
        "downward_expansion": 27.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        115.833333,
        108.861818,
        103.715238,
        102.352473
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 122.0,
    "trend_reference": 103.173333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.182476,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 112.310698,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.086272,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.55737,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.042735,
    "excess_performance": -0.018759,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.182476,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047601,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086272,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.196338,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.055574,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.24074,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042735,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.325039,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 18190,
      "relative_activity": 3.033537,
      "balance": 4.325039,
      "dry_up": 2.400147,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049054,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.295026,
      "from_high_reference": -0.322222,
      "from_low_reference": 0.355556
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 103.173333,
      "fair_value_reference": 112.310698,
      "structural_low": 90.0,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.013226,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021327,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.352,
        "worst_return": -0.345912,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.241689,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.263769,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.335283,
        "worst_return": -0.308778,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.178717,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.175225,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.458922,
        "worst_return": -0.282694,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.060689,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043108,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.148313,
        "worst_return": -0.028945,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.091866,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.094262,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.035714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.059908,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004425,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.013575,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.389749,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.033435,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013245,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.19802,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.078603,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.182186,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013636,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.033898,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 89.834122,
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        "typical_volume": 7671.8,
        "trend": 100.424237,
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        "relative_strength": -7.410965,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "energy": 27.382588,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.980511,
        "energy": 32.611094,
        "activity_lines": [
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          97.920001,
          103.017143,
          107.14
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 95.400002,
        "volume": 6468,
        "typical_volume": 13558.45,
        "trend": 110.966667,
        "fair_value": 112.120823,
        "relative_strength": -32.996577,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -48.206671,
        "energy": 32.929927,
        "activity_lines": [
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          106.07957
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 13609.3,
        "trend": 110.476667,
        "fair_value": 112.143149,
        "relative_strength": -29.631411,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.101918,
        "energy": 27.100238,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 95.599998,
        "volume": 2839,
        "typical_volume": 12457.45,
        "trend": 109.796667,
        "fair_value": 112.12668,
        "relative_strength": -30.981149,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 40.2707,
        "activity_lines": [
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          100.170001,
          104.399355
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 99.400002,
        "volume": 5037,
        "typical_volume": 12315.25,
        "trend": 109.226667,
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        "relative_strength": -30.011956,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.229302,
        "energy": 33.828226,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 96.599998,
        "volume": 5610,
        "typical_volume": 11158.1,
        "trend": 108.33,
        "fair_value": 112.116199,
        "relative_strength": -31.054171,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.415174,
        "energy": 33.010003,
        "activity_lines": [
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          102.913979
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 94.800003,
        "volume": 3411,
        "typical_volume": 10949.85,
        "trend": 107.373334,
        "fair_value": 112.076791,
        "relative_strength": -31.033926,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.376015,
        "energy": 39.276554,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 96.599998,
        "volume": 111,
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        "trend": 106.443334,
        "fair_value": 112.061982,
        "relative_strength": -28.742427,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.072019,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -29.453212,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 35.663011,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 766,
        "typical_volume": 9428.2,
        "trend": 104.84,
        "fair_value": 112.008953,
        "relative_strength": -28.436278,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.505982,
        "energy": 40.564326,
        "activity_lines": [
          95.786665,
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          97.01,
          100.009893
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 96.0,
        "volume": 3842,
        "typical_volume": 8444.7,
        "trend": 104.19,
        "fair_value": 111.94043,
        "relative_strength": -28.739557,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.661758,
        "energy": 33.759182,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 101.0,
        "volume": 2967,
        "typical_volume": 7731.7,
        "trend": 103.573334,
        "fair_value": 111.945515,
        "relative_strength": -22.36052,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -25.609512,
        "energy": 15.155039,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.573332,
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          99.233763
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 110.0,
        "volume": 21801,
        "typical_volume": 5683.75,
        "trend": 103.306667,
        "fair_value": 112.008292,
        "relative_strength": -13.593714,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 14.989336,
        "energy": 19.971587,
        "activity_lines": [
          101.906666,
          99.399999,
          98.402381,
          99.648387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 111.5,
        "volume": 11162,
        "typical_volume": 5677.6,
        "trend": 103.156667,
        "fair_value": 112.069999,
        "relative_strength": -12.845271,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.13055,
        "energy": 48.244738,
        "activity_lines": [
          105.846666,
          101.82909,
          99.722857,
          100.176989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 118.0,
        "volume": 6415,
        "typical_volume": 5437.45,
        "trend": 103.123334,
        "fair_value": 112.173372,
        "relative_strength": -8.009311,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 58.829386,
        "energy": 77.124577,
        "activity_lines": [
          110.933333,
          105.150909,
          101.583809,
          101.134624
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 122.0,
        "volume": 18190,
        "typical_volume": 5996.3,
        "trend": 103.173333,
        "fair_value": 112.310698,
        "relative_strength": -5.55737,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 61.726177,
        "energy": 85.814621,
        "activity_lines": [
          115.833333,
          108.861818,
          103.715238,
          102.352473
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}