{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cd45b31b-a9c8-496d-9d13-c63ea6177a50", "symbol": "603100", "name": "Chongqing Chuanyi Automation Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.148, "architecture_energy": 32.29, "architecture_maturity": 88.821, "architecture_confidence": 64.973, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.25, "rotation_up": 25.89, "upward_expansion": 15.88, "deceleration": 66.74, "rotation_down": 36.37, "downward_expansion": 63.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.935333, 17.802727, 18.248916, 18.991955 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 18.34, "trend_reference": 20.364473, "distance_from_trend": -0.099412, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.146899, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.089686, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.504693, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.24848, "excess_performance": -0.205277, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.099412, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079736, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.089686, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048793, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135047, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023657, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.24848, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.592359, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22632313, "relative_activity": 0.96597, "balance": 0.592359, "dry_up": 1.063665, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065697, "annualized_volatility": 0.301213, "from_high_reference": -0.309699, "from_low_reference": 0.114894 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.364473, "fair_value_reference": 20.146899, "structural_low": 16.450001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.011643, "positive_rate": 0.590909, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": -0.01648, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.198818, "worst_return": -0.156212, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.079505, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.020181, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.270846, "worst_return": -0.177439, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.175252, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.022403, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.387799, "worst_return": -0.288633, "sufficient": true }, { 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-63.946745, "energy": 66.508132, "activity_lines": [ 17.679999, 18.107708, 18.752522, 19.754522 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.110001, "volume": 28879644, "typical_volume": 24249420.3, "trend": 20.811566, "fair_value": 20.298437, "relative_strength": -16.354808, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.936285, "energy": 57.334931, "activity_lines": [ 17.486, 17.840034, 18.516565, 19.505339 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.24, "volume": 24982195, "typical_volume": 23954261.15, "trend": 20.643069, "fair_value": 20.240328, "relative_strength": -16.507709, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.344934, "energy": 51.239801, "activity_lines": [ 17.412667, 17.648364, 18.329419, 19.274915 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.42, "volume": 23190967, "typical_volume": 23635486.55, "trend": 20.502823, "fair_value": 20.189649, "relative_strength": -10.972102, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.929089, "energy": 39.562112, "activity_lines": [ 17.741333, 17.718364, 18.284008, 19.131491 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.34, "volume": 22632313, "typical_volume": 23429630.6, "trend": 20.364473, "fair_value": 20.146899, "relative_strength": -13.504693, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.148013, "energy": 32.289884, "activity_lines": [ 17.935333, 17.802727, 18.248916, 18.991955 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }