{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cd4cb881-0e00-46b3-b858-92da1467c445", "symbol": "ADUS", "name": "Addus HomeCare Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 59.988, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.556, "architecture_energy": 86.87, "architecture_maturity": 21.82, "architecture_confidence": 67.83, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.33, "rotation_up": 85.04, "upward_expansion": 97.82, "deceleration": 39.06, "rotation_down": 8.24, "downward_expansion": 19.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 116.081333, 110.516727, 103.827571, 102.278527 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 119.68, "trend_reference": 102.0505, "distance_from_trend": 0.172753, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 107.227468, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.116132, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.771842, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.130336, "excess_performance": -0.057117, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.172753, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02171, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.116132, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.179501, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027718, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218068, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.130336, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.365022, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1305371, "relative_activity": 1.07913, "balance": 5.365022, "dry_up": 0.983482, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062832, "annualized_volatility": 0.299294, "from_high_reference": -0.038213, "from_low_reference": 0.360773 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 102.0505, "fair_value_reference": 107.227468, "structural_low": 87.95, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.006814, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.016222, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.104275, "worst_return": -0.170048, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.031203, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.049701, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.103148, "worst_return": -0.252181, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.043085, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.009121, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.255175, "worst_return": -0.213075, "sufficient": false }, { 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false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.096697, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.026824, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.025967, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.049427, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.128144, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": 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101.218833, "fair_value": 106.626058, "relative_strength": -13.393572, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.069287, "energy": 34.504383, "activity_lines": [ 102.288, 98.367636, 96.914524, 98.498183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 114.52, "volume": 1132662, "typical_volume": 1197440.05, "trend": 101.2755, "fair_value": 106.773365, "relative_strength": -4.079092, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.371599, "energy": 62.245194, "activity_lines": [ 107.272, 101.647273, 98.579429, 99.356323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 114.55, "volume": 1238873, "typical_volume": 1205981.3, "trend": 101.421833, "fair_value": 106.926955, "relative_strength": -2.207102, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.578823, "energy": 69.345663, "activity_lines": [ 110.85, 104.660545, 100.194857, 100.212742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 115.48, "volume": 1081774, "typical_volume": 1202122.9, "trend": 101.7185, "fair_value": 107.065801, "relative_strength": -1.705197, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.415217, "energy": 73.830162, "activity_lines": [ 113.383333, 107.414364, 101.844857, 101.11972 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 119.68, "volume": 1305371, "typical_volume": 1209651.05, "trend": 102.0505, "fair_value": 107.227468, "relative_strength": -2.771842, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.55639, "energy": 86.86984, "activity_lines": [ 116.081333, 110.516727, 103.827571, 102.278527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }