{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cd4db296-3858-4e17-8511-cbbb9253909b", "symbol": "2245", "name": "Nww Manufacturing Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 66.565, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -20.484, "architecture_energy": 11.695, "architecture_maturity": 62.419, "architecture_confidence": 89.151, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.86, "rotation_up": 30.66, "upward_expansion": 37.33, "deceleration": 40.64, "rotation_down": 30.76, "downward_expansion": 39.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.387708, 24.30124, 24.29568, 24.414237 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 23.85, "trend_reference": 24.558895, "distance_from_trend": -0.028865, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.893293, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.198897, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.330721, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.034121, "excess_performance": -0.475493, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.028865, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024515, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.198897, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055668, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.313307, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024546, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.034121, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.513563, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2375, "relative_activity": 0.036298, "balance": 0.513563, "dry_up": 0.843362, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08207, "annualized_volatility": 0.26577, "from_high_reference": -0.219018, "from_low_reference": 0.183306 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.558895, "fair_value_reference": 19.893293, "structural_low": 22.118581, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.025389, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.0409, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.162571, "worst_return": -0.050089, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.071262, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.068344, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.16826, "worst_return": 0.021667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.216061, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.070687, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.299871, "worst_return": 0.095, "sufficient": 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"modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.663751, "energy": 6.340608, "activity_lines": [ 24.328438, 24.25201, 24.336514, 24.425044 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.700001, "volume": 22822, "typical_volume": 88442.7, "trend": 24.456276, "fair_value": 19.753941, "relative_strength": -26.160387, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.7274, "energy": 6.126236, "activity_lines": [ 24.530554, 24.337159, 24.349822, 24.448571 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.6, "volume": 27888, "typical_volume": 70547.85, "trend": 24.525902, "fair_value": 19.82629, "relative_strength": -27.512121, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.599236, "energy": 5.36975, "activity_lines": [ 24.605768, 24.384161, 24.354817, 24.457844 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 23.85, "volume": 2375, "typical_volume": 65431.3, "trend": 24.558895, "fair_value": 19.893293, "relative_strength": -31.330721, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.483796, "energy": 11.694681, "activity_lines": [ 24.387708, 24.30124, 24.29568, 24.414237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }