{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cd608ec5-a513-4b8a-8ad5-4510989fc59d", "symbol": "CWEU", "name": "Amundi Global Bioenergy UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.088, "architecture_energy": 88.194, "architecture_maturity": 14.1, "architecture_confidence": 85.842, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.69, "rotation_up": 80.99, "upward_expansion": 97.65, "deceleration": 41.84, "rotation_down": 8.21, "downward_expansion": 21.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 579.133329, 565.065453, 553.971904, 543.29086 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 577.0, "trend_reference": 523.948333, "distance_from_trend": 0.101254, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 416.923163, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.383948, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.212459, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.213332, "excess_performance": 0.160021, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.101254, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095947, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.383948, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044923, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.132125, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103776, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.213332, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.306338, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 71, "relative_activity": 0.225971, "balance": 9.306338, "dry_up": 1.006525, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023837, "annualized_volatility": 0.177769, "from_high_reference": -0.03431, "from_low_reference": 0.499285 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 523.948333, "fair_value_reference": 416.923163, "structural_low": 476.850006, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.013984, "positive_rate": 0.517241, "directional_follow_through": 0.517241, "median_excess_return": -0.005226, "regime_survival": 0.724138, "best_return": 0.09259, "worst_return": -0.172609, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.008449, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.023295, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.278425, "worst_return": -0.136549, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.026165, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.036614, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.251531, "worst_return": -0.102898, "sufficient": true }, { 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}, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 586.799988, "volume": 989, "typical_volume": 315.05, "trend": 519.223333, "fair_value": 415.969637, "relative_strength": 18.523191, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.209087, "energy": 93.788403, "activity_lines": [ 576.31333, 560.572725, 550.751428, 539.563333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 577.0, "volume": 71, "typical_volume": 314.2, "trend": 523.948333, "fair_value": 416.923163, "relative_strength": 13.212459, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.087665, "energy": 88.194349, "activity_lines": [ 579.133329, 565.065453, 553.971904, 543.29086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }