{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cd73998c-712b-4418-a142-321d33bc37dd", "symbol": "CLCIND", "name": "CLC Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 54.602, "architecture_energy": 63.783, "architecture_maturity": 44.955, "architecture_confidence": 75.653, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.59, "rotation_up": 82.84, "upward_expansion": 57.5, "deceleration": 40.63, "rotation_down": 16.0, "downward_expansion": 22.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 54.886667, 51.270727, 43.19219, 38.352258 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 56.43, "trend_reference": 46.166667, "distance_from_trend": 0.22231, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 228.782051, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.753346, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -59.929637, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 3.710351, "excess_performance": 3.75406, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.22231, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.626166, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.753346, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138195, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.599296, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.267404, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 3.710351, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.550335, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100775, "relative_activity": 7.810623, "balance": 1.550335, "dry_up": 4.971749, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055031, "annualized_volatility": 0.382976, "from_high_reference": -0.798464, "from_low_reference": 5.607728 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.166667, "fair_value_reference": 228.782051, "structural_low": 11.98, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.372644, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.368611, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.594595, "worst_return": 0.150693, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.135135, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.1256, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.135135, "worst_return": 0.135135, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.513514, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.394418, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.513514, "worst_return": 0.513514, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.865892, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -1.092478, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.865892, "worst_return": -0.865892, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-05-13", "end": "2022-06-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.021739, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-06-24", "end": "2022-09-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.047619, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-10-07", "end": "2022-10-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.136364, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-11-04", "end": "2023-05-05", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.090909, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-05-12", "end": "2023-06-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.068966, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-06-23", "end": "2023-07-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.142857, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2023-07-14", "end": "2023-07-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.189189, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-07-28", "end": "2023-09-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.176471, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-09-15", "end": "2023-10-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.441176, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-11-03", "end": "2024-04-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.037037, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 1.06808, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.102177, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.882709, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.150693, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 275.0, "volume": 553, "typical_volume": 914.9, "trend": 152.666667, "fair_value": 159.455128, "relative_strength": 53.418317, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": 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168.333333, "fair_value": 165.0, "relative_strength": 15.408747, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.299193, "energy": 32.225213, "activity_lines": [ 193.333333, 216.363636, 210.904762, 193.354839 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 225.0, "volume": 1211, "typical_volume": 1465.0, "trend": 172.166667, "fair_value": 166.057692, "relative_strength": 26.909523, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.421659, "energy": 30.387424, "activity_lines": [ 202.333333, 214.636364, 213.952381, 197.010753 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 210.0, "volume": 597, "typical_volume": 1426.65, "trend": 175.666667, "fair_value": 167.019231, "relative_strength": 18.264005, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.145268, "energy": 13.907601, "activity_lines": [ 206.333333, 210.727273, 215.166667, 199.451613 ] }, { "date": 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"close": 54.049999, "volume": 60610, "typical_volume": 6968.7, "trend": 61.060667, "fair_value": 231.742436, "relative_strength": -62.614008, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 47.478695, "energy": 61.46214, "activity_lines": [ 50.746667, 46.686727, 38.702762, 38.449011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 56.75, "volume": 18298, "typical_volume": 7881.0, "trend": 53.619, "fair_value": 230.311346, "relative_strength": -60.608704, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 48.404156, "energy": 79.9527, "activity_lines": [ 53.278666, 49.262727, 41.063238, 38.170903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.43, "volume": 100775, "typical_volume": 12902.3, "trend": 46.166667, "fair_value": 228.782051, "relative_strength": -59.929637, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 54.601913, "energy": 63.783129, "activity_lines": [ 54.886667, 51.270727, 43.19219, 38.352258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }