{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cd866f18-c861-458d-b8e1-4e9439502efe",
    "symbol": "PIG",
    "name": "Haulotte Group SA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 95.72,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.833,
    "architecture_energy": 65.732,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.753,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.563,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.5,
        "rotation_up": 66.56,
        "upward_expansion": 83.98,
        "deceleration": 48.31,
        "rotation_down": 13.85,
        "downward_expansion": 15.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.257333,
        2.223636,
        2.194857,
        2.184839
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.42,
    "trend_reference": 2.181333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.109413,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.378329,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.017521,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.344036,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.075556,
    "excess_performance": 0.022244,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109413,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008631,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017521,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.145044,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03344,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098287,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075556,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.050281,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 100367,
      "relative_activity": 4.043673,
      "balance": 4.050281,
      "dry_up": 3.002971,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.037508,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.257708,
      "from_high_reference": -0.086792,
      "from_low_reference": 0.241026
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.181333,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.378329,
      "structural_low": 1.97,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.032258,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008505,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.102236,
        "worst_return": -0.146825,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.132258,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051089,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.02489,
        "worst_return": -0.150794,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_return": -0.154839,
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        "worst_return": -0.178571,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.285505,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "direction": 16.074579,
        "energy": 8.405082,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.153333,
          2.152909,
          2.176143,
          2.169656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 2.0,
        "volume": 31600,
        "typical_volume": 28434.35,
        "trend": 2.143,
        "fair_value": 2.447625,
        "relative_strength": -12.490877,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.33108,
        "energy": 31.746349,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.1,
          2.124182,
          2.158048,
          2.160108
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 29734,
        "typical_volume": 27153.6,
        "trend": 2.146,
        "fair_value": 2.441325,
        "relative_strength": -6.484643,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.868166,
        "energy": 32.505891,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.101333,
          2.123636,
          2.153095,
          2.159269
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 2.18,
        "volume": 14359,
        "typical_volume": 26931.75,
        "trend": 2.151333,
        "fair_value": 2.435522,
        "relative_strength": -2.15642,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.593463,
        "energy": 23.111569,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.120667,
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          2.153333,
          2.161462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 2.23,
        "volume": 11000,
        "typical_volume": 26537.0,
        "trend": 2.159,
        "fair_value": 2.4311,
        "relative_strength": -1.688243,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.164878,
        "energy": 5.744969,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.158667,
          2.149273,
          2.158667,
          2.166538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": -6.11977,
        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -1.148076,
        "energy": 7.896163,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.161333,
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          2.155476,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 2.18,
        "volume": 3718,
        "typical_volume": 25147.85,
        "trend": 2.166667,
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        "relative_strength": -4.534449,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -2.308187,
        "energy": 10.758971,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.176,
          2.153455,
          2.156476,
          2.16643
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 2.18,
        "volume": 1273,
        "typical_volume": 24504.5,
        "trend": 2.172,
        "fair_value": 2.4132,
        "relative_strength": -5.77385,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.014865,
        "energy": 12.300306,
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          2.178667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -5.806829,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.09533,
        "energy": 13.083098,
        "activity_lines": [
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          2.168452
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 2.17,
        "volume": 977,
        "typical_volume": 19532.95,
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        "relative_strength": -6.058557,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -10.307834,
        "energy": 10.276628,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.176667,
          2.169636,
          2.159524,
          2.168043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2.2,
        "volume": 647,
        "typical_volume": 17240.9,
        "trend": 2.18,
        "fair_value": 2.399629,
        "relative_strength": -5.980256,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.429177,
        "energy": 13.858913,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.186,
          2.178364,
          2.162952,
          2.169462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2.17,
        "volume": 9359,
        "typical_volume": 16682.25,
        "trend": 2.180333,
        "fair_value": 2.393998,
        "relative_strength": -4.96,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 10.017105,
        "energy": 8.475674,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.181333,
          2.180182,
          2.164,
          2.168817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.18,
        "volume": 20204,
        "typical_volume": 14693.4,
        "trend": 2.179,
        "fair_value": 2.389549,
        "relative_strength": -4.04209,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -1.023147,
        "energy": 4.043087,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.180667,
          2.180727,
          2.166381,
          2.168796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.21,
        "volume": 130646,
        "typical_volume": 20564.25,
        "trend": 2.177667,
        "fair_value": 2.385174,
        "relative_strength": -2.652695,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.488369,
        "energy": 16.59616,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.19,
          2.185818,
          2.171571,
          2.170796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.15,
        "volume": 46927,
        "typical_volume": 21426.9,
        "trend": 2.174667,
        "fair_value": 2.380945,
        "relative_strength": -6.239691,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -2.333845,
        "energy": 1.976808,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.178,
          2.179455,
          2.170381,
          2.169011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.42,
        "volume": 100367,
        "typical_volume": 24820.75,
        "trend": 2.181333,
        "fair_value": 2.378329,
        "relative_strength": 3.344036,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.833072,
        "energy": 65.731722,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.257333,
          2.223636,
          2.194857,
          2.184839
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}