{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cda11366-2ffb-49fc-8826-8f36c11df522", "symbol": "VGVF", "name": "Vanguard FTSE Developed World UCITS ETF USD Accumulation", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.24, "architecture_energy": 62.185, "architecture_maturity": 90.379, "architecture_confidence": 71.927, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.49, "rotation_up": 50.77, "upward_expansion": 81.79, "deceleration": 71.44, "rotation_down": 29.33, "downward_expansion": 10.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 131.054664, 130.743271, 128.881999, 126.110063 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 133.539993, "trend_reference": 122.809999, "distance_from_trend": 0.087371, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 102.772179, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.299379, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.565291, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.145676, "excess_performance": 0.081036, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087371, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046415, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.299379, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032132, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.045653, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060457, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.145676, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.199389, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 83204, "relative_activity": 1.235715, "balance": 2.199389, "dry_up": 1.505079, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018709, "annualized_volatility": 0.112433, "from_high_reference": -0.003433, "from_low_reference": 0.256256 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 122.809999, "fair_value_reference": 102.772179, "structural_low": 111.0, 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.617938, "energy": 79.307643, "activity_lines": [ 129.605334, 128.425818, 124.497618, 122.256128 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 131.440002, "volume": 11344, "typical_volume": 61437.55, "trend": 120.150666, "fair_value": 101.129615, "relative_strength": 6.75259, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.847404, "energy": 80.405117, "activity_lines": [ 130.284001, 129.252728, 125.438095, 123.020214 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 131.580002, "volume": 109950, "typical_volume": 63469.15, "trend": 120.757333, "fair_value": 101.469936, "relative_strength": 9.476318, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.211826, "energy": 80.187808, "activity_lines": [ 130.861335, 129.918183, 126.32019, 123.757591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 129.679993, "volume": 153691, "typical_volume": 67899.6, "trend": 121.277332, "fair_value": 101.790064, "relative_strength": 8.526244, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.732065, "energy": 64.864973, "activity_lines": [ 130.610666, 130.056363, 126.956761, 124.333246 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 130.259995, "volume": 90383, "typical_volume": 65382.75, "trend": 121.799999, "fair_value": 102.105833, "relative_strength": 7.492352, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.702173, "energy": 62.948068, "activity_lines": [ 130.482664, 130.211999, 127.593332, 124.912773 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 129.100006, "volume": 78086, "typical_volume": 65805.8, "trend": 122.281999, "fair_value": 102.423013, "relative_strength": 4.091001, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.357953, "energy": 50.705104, "activity_lines": [ 130.012, 130.082909, 128.057619, 125.383741 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 133.539993, "volume": 83204, "typical_volume": 67332.7, "trend": 122.809999, "fair_value": 102.772179, "relative_strength": 4.565291, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.240116, "energy": 62.184959, "activity_lines": [ 131.054664, 130.743271, 128.881999, 126.110063 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }