{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cdaa3b69-edb7-42ec-93d0-4c41233326df",
    "symbol": "CPTP",
    "name": "Capital Point Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -55.03,
    "architecture_energy": 39.619,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.373,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.64,
        "rotation_up": 27.28,
        "upward_expansion": 5.86,
        "deceleration": 60.06,
        "rotation_down": 42.4,
        "downward_expansion": 76.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.4462,
        0.448145,
        0.452705,
        0.4652
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.452,
    "trend_reference": 0.4835,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.06515,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.539147,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.161639,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -22.255182,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.169118,
    "excess_performance": -0.198018,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.06515,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05726,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.161639,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02373,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.222552,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134926,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.169118,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.640876,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 4.640876,
      "dry_up": 3.797005,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039142,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.207235,
      "from_high_reference": -0.268608,
      "from_low_reference": 0.170984
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.4835,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.539147,
      "structural_low": 0.386,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.006012,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017622,
        "regime_survival": 0.888889,
        "best_return": 0.369727,
        "worst_return": -0.269646,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.054369,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.065878,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.330097,
        "worst_return": -0.357786,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.0141,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.122259,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.469755,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.089286,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.146989,
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        "best_return": 0.040595,
        "worst_return": -0.23277,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2024-03-08",
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        "return": 0.054545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037234,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
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        "return": 0.060665,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 0.527567,
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        "relative_strength": -35.747811,
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 24433.9,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 22629.85,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 7610,
        "typical_volume": 19000.1,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -28.164164,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.759057,
        "energy": 44.924496,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.450933,
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          0.462305,
          0.476204
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.439,
        "volume": 1133863,
        "typical_volume": 76362.3,
        "trend": 0.4887,
        "fair_value": 0.541141,
        "relative_strength": -26.763742,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.276978,
        "energy": 47.506045,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.446,
          0.446782,
          0.458724,
          0.472817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.44,
        "volume": 1100,
        "typical_volume": 76408.95,
        "trend": 0.4876,
        "fair_value": 0.540494,
        "relative_strength": -27.635194,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.682372,
        "energy": 49.999702,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.4418,
          0.445927,
          0.455624,
          0.469675
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.452,
        "volume": 12722,
        "typical_volume": 75565.15,
        "trend": 0.485767,
        "fair_value": 0.539737,
        "relative_strength": -22.871236,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.181157,
        "energy": 48.980801,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.4436,
          0.447218,
          0.454048,
          0.467378
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.452,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 75565.15,
        "trend": 0.4835,
        "fair_value": 0.539147,
        "relative_strength": -22.255182,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.029887,
        "energy": 39.619168,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.4462,
          0.448145,
          0.452705,
          0.4652
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}