{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cdb4a290-c9d3-40ee-949a-de548c93d422", "symbol": "6788", "name": "Brillian Network & Automation Integrated System Co. Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -23.733, "architecture_energy": 52.003, "architecture_maturity": 5.846, "architecture_confidence": 77.948, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.11, "rotation_up": 14.73, "upward_expansion": 26.02, "deceleration": 49.64, "rotation_down": 65.54, "downward_expansion": 53.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 346.0, 366.645455, 388.298897, 385.003595 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 363.5, "trend_reference": 372.087117, "distance_from_trend": -0.023078, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 222.303894, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.635149, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.830509, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.237381, "excess_performance": -0.203991, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.023078, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.119629, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.635149, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.340444, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.168305, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.135392, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.237381, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.646518, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1124022, "relative_activity": 0.188731, "balance": 0.646518, "dry_up": 0.285338, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123058, "annualized_volatility": 0.522494, "from_high_reference": -0.313693, "from_low_reference": 0.811455 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 372.087117, "fair_value_reference": 222.303894, "structural_low": 286.047584, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.252278, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.225361, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.541766, "worst_return": -0.037209, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.24597, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.154714, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.684964, "worst_return": -0.193023, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.67637, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.322208, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.02148, "worst_return": 0.33126, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 216.708388, "relative_strength": -16.47618, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.247616, "energy": 10.086541, "activity_lines": [ 398.4, 409.581264, 408.584727, 392.23011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 348.0, "volume": 1644466, "typical_volume": 7833003.0, "trend": 372.199965, "fair_value": 218.133273, "relative_strength": -18.058894, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.291316, "energy": 16.740303, "activity_lines": [ 377.233333, 397.949301, 404.020676, 390.747073 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 322.5, "volume": 2235369, "typical_volume": 7493587.4, "trend": 371.774975, "fair_value": 219.41456, "relative_strength": -22.632291, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.581253, "energy": 42.083056, "activity_lines": [ 353.566667, 382.510373, 396.89613, 387.540623 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 340.0, "volume": 1793669, "typical_volume": 6841027.85, "trend": 371.048966, "fair_value": 220.771137, "relative_strength": -19.905052, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.508322, "energy": 53.261005, "activity_lines": [ 342.366667, 371.818182, 391.455321, 385.490625 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 363.5, "volume": 1124022, "typical_volume": 5955685.6, "trend": 372.087117, "fair_value": 222.303894, "relative_strength": -16.830509, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.732985, "energy": 52.002621, "activity_lines": [ 346.0, 366.645455, 388.298897, 385.003595 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }