{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cdc018af-f014-4812-a60d-db442e293453", "symbol": "GDBR34", "name": "General Dynamics Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.664, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 56.141, "architecture_energy": 82.936, "architecture_maturity": 16.837, "architecture_confidence": 71.437, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.93, "rotation_up": 79.19, "upward_expansion": 69.62, "deceleration": 20.84, "rotation_down": 16.32, "downward_expansion": 27.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 1933.735351, 1891.540996, 1824.58914, 1809.362362 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1967.550049, "trend_reference": 1812.628463, "distance_from_trend": 0.085468, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1565.379679, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.256916, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.384992, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.05375, "excess_performance": 0.110799, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085468, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003485, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.256916, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.130958, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.04385, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.225061, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.05375, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 53.2, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5, "relative_activity": 0.239808, "balance": 53.2, "dry_up": 0.29976, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025219, "annualized_volatility": 0.256168, "from_high_reference": -0.060136, "from_low_reference": 0.286286 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1812.628463, "fair_value_reference": 1565.379679, "structural_low": 1529.636744, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.016373, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.031945, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.095131, "worst_return": -0.053206, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.081105, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.121869, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.093487, "worst_return": 0.009737, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.123683, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.119447, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.207496, "worst_return": 0.050147, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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60.01634, "activity_lines": [ 1840.117676, 1803.21183, 1766.992487, 1779.136805 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1848.040039, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 26.7, "trend": 1803.487447, "fair_value": 1547.850373, "relative_strength": -3.327904, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.890756, "energy": 49.735591, "activity_lines": [ 1845.934782, 1817.130959, 1774.74071, 1782.037867 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1942.199951, "volume": 15, "typical_volume": 24.0, "trend": 1807.039978, "fair_value": 1553.891184, "relative_strength": 1.542659, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 55.893313, "energy": 69.798096, "activity_lines": [ 1880.825545, 1845.264524, 1791.042351, 1790.987061 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1934.400024, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 23.55, "trend": 1810.092928, "fair_value": 1559.615521, "relative_strength": -0.72085, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.0257, "energy": 80.705869, "activity_lines": [ 1906.580672, 1867.37468, 1806.408096, 1799.203838 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1967.550049, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 20.85, "trend": 1812.628463, "fair_value": 1565.379679, "relative_strength": 4.384992, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 56.141306, "energy": 82.935878, "activity_lines": [ 1933.735351, 1891.540996, 1824.58914, 1809.362362 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }