{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cdd1f6a5-a950-4e61-b81a-3d73dfa9fe42", "symbol": "TVE", "name": "Tennessee Valley Authority", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 68.334, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.145, "architecture_energy": 25.104, "architecture_maturity": 56.722, "architecture_confidence": 84.858, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.8, "rotation_up": 25.86, "upward_expansion": 18.94, "deceleration": 45.48, "rotation_down": 37.91, "downward_expansion": 62.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.491198, 23.47506, 23.534812, 23.645366 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 23.46, "trend_reference": 23.815889, "distance_from_trend": -0.014943, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.151123, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.059089, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.133971, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.035334, "excess_performance": -0.160959, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014943, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006997, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.059089, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02474, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.12134, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013903, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.035334, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.494334, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28187, "relative_activity": 0.416559, "balance": 0.494334, "dry_up": 0.562466, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010051, "annualized_volatility": 0.049962, "from_high_reference": -0.044321, "from_low_reference": 0.024284 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.815889, "fair_value_reference": 22.151123, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 23.383121, "volume": 55325, "typical_volume": 72300.6, "trend": 23.854759, "fair_value": 22.102684, "relative_strength": -8.973087, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.32528, "energy": 46.51021, "activity_lines": [ 23.409632, 23.445228, 23.553753, 23.682489 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.66, "volume": 46270, "typical_volume": 72865.2, "trend": 23.840635, "fair_value": 22.127484, "relative_strength": -8.60522, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.041733, "energy": 29.375834, "activity_lines": [ 23.490658, 23.47969, 23.55316, 23.669924 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.46, "volume": 28187, "typical_volume": 67666.35, "trend": 23.815889, "fair_value": 22.151123, "relative_strength": -12.133971, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.145059, "energy": 25.103676, "activity_lines": [ 23.491198, 23.47506, 23.534812, 23.645366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }