{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cddcb5eb-dfb3-406c-83b5-793c002cbf3a", "symbol": "MIRM", "name": "Mirum Pharmaceuticals Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 61.31, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 23.362, "architecture_energy": 17.958, "architecture_maturity": 54.88, "architecture_confidence": 79.926, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.97, "rotation_up": 23.71, "upward_expansion": 57.14, "deceleration": 88.23, "rotation_down": 33.09, "downward_expansion": 20.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 108.399333, 112.103273, 108.219143, 104.801978 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 100.65, "trend_reference": 101.274333, "distance_from_trend": -0.006165, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 54.613109, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.842964, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.797366, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.001792, "excess_performance": -0.185662, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006165, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.1392, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.842964, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.400283, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.007974, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21197, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.001792, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.662494, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5794158, "relative_activity": 1.29576, "balance": 0.662494, "dry_up": 0.801817, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11394, "annualized_volatility": 0.450262, "from_high_reference": -0.225769, "from_low_reference": 0.721101 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 101.274333, "fair_value_reference": 54.613109, "structural_low": 84.33, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.08501, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": 0.028811, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 0.209524, "worst_return": -0.220094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.077019, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.075654, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.420785, "worst_return": -0.117224, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.070555, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.196063, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.328699, "worst_return": -0.232213, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.059124, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.069712, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.085049, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.135081, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.392048, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.605556, "energy": 80.82186, "activity_lines": [ 119.861667, 112.155273, 105.307048, 102.112946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 118.86, "volume": 2493284, "typical_volume": 4595444.9, "trend": 98.75, "fair_value": 53.069071, "relative_strength": 24.680117, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.662806, "energy": 78.385913, "activity_lines": [ 120.950667, 114.113273, 107.091571, 103.498796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 113.03, "volume": 3347896, "typical_volume": 4551040.0, "trend": 99.875667, "fair_value": 53.628301, "relative_strength": 19.261177, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.633603, "energy": 61.002363, "activity_lines": [ 118.795333, 114.798545, 108.194333, 104.420086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 105.95, "volume": 2706375, "typical_volume": 4480833.95, "trend": 100.805, "fair_value": 54.137917, "relative_strength": 10.265449, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.307456, "energy": 30.60994, "activity_lines": [ 113.886667, 113.999364, 108.495524, 104.811978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 100.65, "volume": 5794158, "typical_volume": 4471629.0, "trend": 101.274333, "fair_value": 54.613109, "relative_strength": -0.797366, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.362034, "energy": 17.95836, "activity_lines": [ 108.399333, 112.103273, 108.219143, 104.801978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }