{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cddef924-1cd5-4494-ae07-d8759816a49a",
    "symbol": "NCC-B",
    "name": "NCC AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.304,
    "architecture_energy": 86.777,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.029,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.971,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.67,
        "rotation_up": 8.72,
        "upward_expansion": 21.95,
        "deceleration": 37.01,
        "rotation_down": 76.8,
        "downward_expansion": 95.28
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        172.186669,
        178.340002,
        185.876012,
        191.246655
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 174.0,
    "trend_reference": 198.940084,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.125365,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 158.302116,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.099164,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -22.951225,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.213765,
    "excess_performance": -0.275259,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.125365,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041172,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099164,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.238286,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.229512,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.151008,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.213765,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.839436,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1384197,
      "relative_activity": 1.540528,
      "balance": 1.839436,
      "dry_up": 1.283607,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.047878,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.296883,
      "from_high_reference": -0.242885,
      "from_low_reference": 0.038806
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 198.940084,
      "fair_value_reference": 158.302116,
      "structural_low": 167.5,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.015571,
        "positive_rate": 0.357143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.642857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000385,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.14259,
        "worst_return": -0.203373,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.205622,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 156.384537,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 891871.5,
        "trend": 203.266465,
        "fair_value": 156.859618,
        "relative_strength": -22.081277,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.939181,
        "energy": 73.365785,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.766669,
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          192.575479,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 170.600006,
        "volume": 764999,
        "typical_volume": 874218.55,
        "trend": 202.001797,
        "fair_value": 157.327139,
        "relative_strength": -22.557568,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.092121,
        "energy": 83.215074,
        "activity_lines": [
          177.373337,
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          190.095964,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 169.800003,
        "volume": 874838,
        "typical_volume": 870794.55,
        "trend": 200.555701,
        "fair_value": 157.787909,
        "relative_strength": -23.693542,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.646881,
        "energy": 89.874384,
        "activity_lines": [
          173.320003,
          180.260003,
          187.70895,
          192.959926
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 174.0,
        "volume": 1384197,
        "typical_volume": 898521.25,
        "trend": 198.940084,
        "fair_value": 158.302116,
        "relative_strength": -22.951225,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.303938,
        "energy": 86.776686,
        "activity_lines": [
          172.186669,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}