{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cdf981d5-4465-4529-a321-ea6f8e1ecabb",
    "symbol": "JREU",
    "name": "JPMorgan ETFs (Ireland) ICAV - US Research Enhanced Index Equity Active UCITS ETF - USD (acc)",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.642,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.22,
    "architecture_energy": 67.26,
    "architecture_maturity": 78.72,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.33,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.85,
        "rotation_up": 54.46,
        "upward_expansion": 82.68,
        "deceleration": 71.04,
        "rotation_down": 28.41,
        "downward_expansion": 11.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        63.108452
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 67.120003,
    "trend_reference": 61.462,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.092057,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 52.680737,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.27409,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.293326,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.148922,
    "excess_performance": -0.02197,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092057,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039415,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.27409,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034888,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032933,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006731,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.148922,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.941641,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 117303,
      "relative_activity": 0.952,
      "balance": 2.941641,
      "dry_up": 0.99323,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018302,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.117093,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003711,
      "from_low_reference": 0.23952
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 61.462,
      "fair_value_reference": 52.680737,
      "structural_low": 55.610001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.013195,
        "positive_rate": 0.564103,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.564103,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002887,
        "regime_survival": 0.820513,
        "best_return": 0.077039,
        "worst_return": -0.103645,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.008424,
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        "best_return": 0.129467,
        "worst_return": -0.182801,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.097412,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.058238,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 222990.5,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 51.210256,
        "relative_strength": -0.891874,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 211736.2,
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        "fair_value": 51.366635,
        "relative_strength": -4.89001,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 51.693109,
        "relative_strength": -3.430401,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 3657,
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        "fair_value": 51.859551,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 164673.75,
        "trend": 60.534,
        "fair_value": 52.030128,
        "relative_strength": -3.556969,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.171157,
        "energy": 73.042537,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 65.07,
        "volume": 117356,
        "typical_volume": 151075.9,
        "trend": 60.763334,
        "fair_value": 52.190994,
        "relative_strength": -3.25383,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.343513,
        "energy": 66.327932,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.248667,
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          63.497143,
          62.199097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 65.269997,
        "volume": 139661,
        "typical_volume": 140867.3,
        "trend": 60.992,
        "fair_value": 52.34891,
        "relative_strength": -2.708242,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.180979,
        "energy": 64.044724,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.281999,
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          63.821619,
          62.48985
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 64.669998,
        "volume": 115213,
        "typical_volume": 129227.45,
        "trend": 61.209667,
        "fair_value": 52.505898,
        "relative_strength": -4.140921,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.872736,
        "energy": 58.629568,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.110666,
          65.014181,
          64.058619,
          62.72714
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 67.120003,
        "volume": 117303,
        "typical_volume": 123217.45,
        "trend": 61.462,
        "fair_value": 52.680737,
        "relative_strength": -3.293326,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.220483,
        "energy": 67.260233,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.739333,
          65.420182,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}