{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cdf9ffd7-9bc3-4902-b7a0-57f5f739f795", "symbol": "REE", "name": "Redeia Corporaci\u00f3n, S.A.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 87.404, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.812, "architecture_energy": 74.063, "architecture_maturity": 12.909, "architecture_confidence": 65.239, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.25, "rotation_up": 74.41, "upward_expansion": 89.79, "deceleration": 46.39, "rotation_down": 8.95, "downward_expansion": 16.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.492, 15.330488, 14.986744, 14.942658 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.47, "trend_reference": 14.927266, "distance_from_trend": 0.036359, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.256005, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.014027, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.809006, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.018433, "excess_performance": -0.155814, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036359, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003794, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.014027, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085963, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.17809, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076978, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.018433, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021872, "annualized_volatility": 0.181804, "from_high_reference": -0.109342, "from_low_reference": 0.119958 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.927266, "fair_value_reference": 15.256005, "structural_low": 13.813023, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.015028, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.001587, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.124634, "worst_return": -0.053258, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.023522, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.010747, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.048566, "worst_return": -0.127295, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.022343, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.024363, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.005066, "worst_return": -0.049751, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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14.587163, 14.709577 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 15.31, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 919.75, "trend": 14.829958, "fair_value": 15.191323, "relative_strength": -21.16704, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.579349, "energy": 32.325515, "activity_lines": [ 14.879788, 14.626117, 14.635982, 14.741255 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 15.38, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 919.75, "trend": 14.854445, "fair_value": 15.203402, "relative_strength": -19.040024, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.182668, "energy": 58.696061, "activity_lines": [ 15.098532, 14.793971, 14.694563, 14.776741 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.64, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 405.45, "trend": 14.88431, "fair_value": 15.21584, "relative_strength": -15.297137, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 47.089921, "energy": 72.351252, "activity_lines": [ 15.332801, 14.989347, 14.78043, 14.827422 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.35, "trend": 14.910933, "fair_value": 15.22995, "relative_strength": -15.183081, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.868783, "energy": 76.819462, "activity_lines": [ 15.53, 15.175874, 14.876011, 14.883273 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.28, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.35, "trend": 14.918599, "fair_value": 15.243378, "relative_strength": -17.002433, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.905445, "energy": 72.274889, "activity_lines": [ 15.492667, 15.243826, 14.922735, 14.907084 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.47, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.35, "trend": 14.927266, "fair_value": 15.256005, "relative_strength": -17.809006, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.812103, "energy": 74.063187, "activity_lines": [ 15.492, 15.330488, 14.986744, 14.942658 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }