{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ce0d9dcb-595e-45f4-9a62-c82e0911453f",
    "symbol": "CVX",
    "name": "Chevron Corp",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 66.035,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 42.616,
    "architecture_energy": 37.219,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.565,
    "architecture_confidence": 49.861,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.12,
        "rotation_up": 65.62,
        "upward_expansion": 68.07,
        "deceleration": 61.89,
        "rotation_down": 9.03,
        "downward_expansion": 11.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        190.376667,
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        184.522038,
        185.463293
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 186.56,
    "trend_reference": 184.353195,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.011971,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 150.551663,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.239176,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.113696,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.051086,
    "excess_performance": -0.074539,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011971,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06401,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.239176,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012482,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021137,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027709,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051086,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.051538,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 41541489,
      "relative_activity": 0.875784,
      "balance": 1.051538,
      "dry_up": 0.796766,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05581,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.270451,
      "from_high_reference": -0.123266,
      "from_low_reference": 0.297695
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 184.353195,
      "fair_value_reference": 150.551663,
      "structural_low": 164.78,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.002792,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008994,
        "regime_survival": 0.466667,
        "best_return": 0.14616,
        "worst_return": -0.073132,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.120919,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
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        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.080153,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
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      {
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 59465783.85,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 148.791158,
        "relative_strength": -4.279293,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 53934725.85,
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        "relative_strength": -7.305176,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 54020817.35,
        "trend": 178.978363,
        "fair_value": 149.266991,
        "relative_strength": -4.602568,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.051668,
        "energy": 52.213807,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 187.38,
        "volume": 34490089,
        "typical_volume": 53589871.05,
        "trend": 180.391059,
        "fair_value": 149.571299,
        "relative_strength": 2.762928,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.562794,
        "energy": 28.246191,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 194.79,
        "volume": 35652197,
        "typical_volume": 51997083.8,
        "trend": 181.976498,
        "fair_value": 149.922089,
        "relative_strength": 7.223635,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.02164,
        "energy": 12.790576,
        "activity_lines": [
          184.142,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 196.83,
        "volume": 39489755,
        "typical_volume": 49995193.25,
        "trend": 183.437586,
        "fair_value": 150.283469,
        "relative_strength": 6.944435,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.351972,
        "energy": 35.793328,
        "activity_lines": [
          189.83,
          184.345636,
          184.540902,
          185.261847
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 186.56,
        "volume": 41541489,
        "typical_volume": 47433497.65,
        "trend": 184.353195,
        "fair_value": 150.551663,
        "relative_strength": -2.113696,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.616455,
        "energy": 37.219161,
        "activity_lines": [
          190.376667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}