{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ce124055-9ec8-4735-a3ee-7f47ecfdb4ad", "symbol": "300627", "name": "Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.432, "architecture_energy": 46.379, "architecture_maturity": 41.622, "architecture_confidence": 95.398, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.05, "rotation_up": 22.56, "upward_expansion": 6.46, "deceleration": 53.19, "rotation_down": 51.59, "downward_expansion": 77.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.774667, 28.074182, 29.032234, 30.295927 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 28.16, "trend_reference": 32.473388, "distance_from_trend": -0.132828, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.894116, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.047069, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.732498, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.263633, "excess_performance": -0.271033, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.132828, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034148, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.047069, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.216806, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.177325, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031357, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.263633, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.584786, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43906828, "relative_activity": 1.057163, "balance": 0.584786, "dry_up": 1.123345, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075558, "annualized_volatility": 0.326109, "from_high_reference": -0.40477, "from_low_reference": 0.068285 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.473388, "fair_value_reference": 26.894116, "structural_low": 26.360001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.066775, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.064437, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.268965, "worst_return": -0.109017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.114467, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.092509, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.220226, "worst_return": -0.009066, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.194991, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.211579, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.285105, "worst_return": -0.148217, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -20.258656, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.920712, "energy": 64.31994, "activity_lines": [ 27.442667, 28.174546, 29.446088, 30.875857 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.389999, "volume": 51306117, "typical_volume": 41642743.6, "trend": 32.681647, "fair_value": 26.854326, "relative_strength": -13.451206, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.818136, "energy": 49.503407, "activity_lines": [ 27.667333, 28.134727, 29.234002, 30.587646 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.16, "volume": 43906828, "typical_volume": 41532683.4, "trend": 32.473388, "fair_value": 26.894116, "relative_strength": -17.732498, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.431714, "energy": 46.37894, "activity_lines": [ 27.774667, 28.074182, 29.032234, 30.295927 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }