{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ce127798-d7c8-41e1-8dde-0dfc5b5b2d6c",
    "symbol": "HYLD",
    "name": "Hamilton Enhanced U.S. Covered Call ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 84.565,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.947,
    "architecture_energy": 31.383,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.613,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.851,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.88,
        "rotation_up": 36.02,
        "upward_expansion": 61.48,
        "deceleration": 85.38,
        "rotation_down": 27.47,
        "downward_expansion": 20.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        15.57631,
        15.622323,
        15.487172,
        15.085819
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 16.030001,
    "trend_reference": 14.624093,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096136,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.684955,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.37185,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.734271,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.163302,
    "excess_performance": 0.042881,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096136,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040567,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.37185,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010151,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007343,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023338,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.163302,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.692364,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1143100,
      "relative_activity": 1.381189,
      "balance": 0.692364,
      "dry_up": 1.292562,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033343,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.186236,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003729,
      "from_low_reference": 0.301593
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.624093,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.684955,
      "structural_low": 12.47094,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.024856,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.016264,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.043525,
        "worst_return": -0.025228,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.037017,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008387,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.054822,
        "worst_return": -0.095635,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.130685,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.025534,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.135844,
        "worst_return": 0.072542,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.223767,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036916,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.283732,
        "worst_return": 0.163802,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.055426,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.026185,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.020307,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.124974,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.08756,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013472,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.045027,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.088511,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.028161,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022198,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.056108,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.045424,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050459,
        "active": true
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    ],
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 11.055227,
        "relative_strength": -0.781365,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "fair_value": 11.099976,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
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        "energy": 89.714564,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 1014490.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 11.282458,
        "relative_strength": 2.18898,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 939040.0,
        "trend": 14.173499,
        "fair_value": 11.327791,
        "relative_strength": 2.371877,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 826040.0,
        "trend": 14.313547,
        "fair_value": 11.420248,
        "relative_strength": 1.487762,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.224063,
        "energy": 56.769878,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.71556,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 15.889792,
        "volume": 200000,
        "typical_volume": 782350.0,
        "trend": 14.375859,
        "fair_value": 11.467337,
        "relative_strength": 2.814802,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.295939,
        "energy": 60.04246,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 15.879898,
        "volume": 1055500,
        "typical_volume": 801810.0,
        "trend": 14.439092,
        "fair_value": 11.512849,
        "relative_strength": 2.581942,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.154135,
        "energy": 58.659334,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.823638,
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          15.229168,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 15.36541,
        "volume": 1093700,
        "typical_volume": 817735.0,
        "trend": 14.483612,
        "fair_value": 11.55484,
        "relative_strength": -0.571116,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.62514,
        "energy": 43.413237,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.677355,
          15.695833,
          15.294373,
          14.891837
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.281311,
        "volume": 767700,
        "typical_volume": 801780.0,
        "trend": 14.518759,
        "fair_value": 11.595886,
        "relative_strength": -1.327451,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.921869,
        "energy": 35.694134,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.523398,
          15.624651,
          15.344056,
          14.943302
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.26,
        "volume": 1274500,
        "typical_volume": 814940.0,
        "trend": 14.562227,
        "fair_value": 11.637896,
        "relative_strength": -0.998727,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.749724,
        "energy": 23.751253,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.411404,
          15.550664,
          15.383628,
          14.991124
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.030001,
        "volume": 1143100,
        "typical_volume": 827620.0,
        "trend": 14.624093,
        "fair_value": 11.684955,
        "relative_strength": 0.734271,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.946711,
        "energy": 31.382697,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.57631,
          15.622323,
          15.487172,
          15.085819
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}