{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ce1e9ba3-d400-4b0e-87d9-7bc0dfdad6b4", "symbol": "6689", "name": "eCloudvalley Digital Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 78.932, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.816, "architecture_energy": 35.303, "architecture_maturity": 16.218, "architecture_confidence": 89.797, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.55, "rotation_up": 21.9, "upward_expansion": 4.09, "deceleration": 54.97, "rotation_down": 49.36, "downward_expansion": 77.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.50872, 60.628642, 62.471272, 63.981501 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 63.0, "trend_reference": 64.52172, "distance_from_trend": -0.023585, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 87.375697, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.278976, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -32.437488, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.086778, "excess_performance": -0.354594, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.023585, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001976, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.278976, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044436, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.324375, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077138, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.086778, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.163158, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 697212, "relative_activity": 0.513435, "balance": 1.163158, "dry_up": 0.508003, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073476, "annualized_volatility": 0.435246, "from_high_reference": -0.263202, "from_low_reference": 0.175373 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 64.52172, "fair_value_reference": 87.375697, "structural_low": 53.599998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.02449, "positive_rate": 0.342857, "directional_follow_through": 0.657143, "median_excess_return": -0.054299, "regime_survival": 0.828571, "best_return": 0.305, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.015894, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.091382, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.54878, "worst_return": -0.616822, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.061436, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.250076, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.118591, "worst_return": -0.387342, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 2555020.8, "trend": 64.27489, "fair_value": 88.245917, "relative_strength": -37.705598, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.254184, "energy": 72.381383, "activity_lines": [ 58.641343, 60.577468, 63.065893, 64.242055 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 61.599998, "volume": 733081, "typical_volume": 1935564.75, "trend": 64.3637, "fair_value": 87.769265, "relative_strength": -32.772093, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.27555, "energy": 54.505907, "activity_lines": [ 59.337112, 60.46487, 62.655811, 64.069481 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 63.0, "volume": 697212, "typical_volume": 1357936.5, "trend": 64.52172, "fair_value": 87.375697, "relative_strength": -32.437488, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.816202, "energy": 35.30257, "activity_lines": [ 60.50872, 60.628642, 62.471272, 63.981501 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }