{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ce2735c3-7147-4658-a171-aee11ae520f6", "symbol": "2428", "name": "Thinking Electronic Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.828, "architecture_energy": 18.22, "architecture_maturity": 72.98, "architecture_confidence": 81.916, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.21, "rotation_up": 16.48, "upward_expansion": 45.44, "deceleration": 87.83, "rotation_down": 39.82, "downward_expansion": 28.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 242.6, 257.390909, 261.661905, 243.793548 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 253.5, "trend_reference": 220.483333, "distance_from_trend": 0.149747, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 165.483474, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.531875, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.410109, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.461095, "excess_performance": 0.115363, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.149747, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164525, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.531875, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037666, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.044101, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037936, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.461095, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.6999, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11151980, "relative_activity": 1.233505, "balance": 1.6999, "dry_up": 0.826703, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.16826, "annualized_volatility": 0.680333, "from_high_reference": -0.258772, "from_low_reference": 0.783482 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 220.483333, "fair_value_reference": 165.483474, "structural_low": 145.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.004924, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.054343, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.13354, "worst_return": -0.118388, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.03395, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.152065, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.88254, "worst_return": -0.2267, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.057467, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.070628, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.69914, "worst_return": -0.302267, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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237.832258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 218.5, "volume": 4937768, "typical_volume": 8054197.15, "trend": 213.75, "fair_value": 163.708471, "relative_strength": -13.976873, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.82185, "energy": 23.135572, "activity_lines": [ 256.033333, 277.645455, 259.728571, 238.239785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 224.5, "volume": 3400829, "typical_volume": 8109105.55, "trend": 215.2, "fair_value": 164.239319, "relative_strength": -13.66205, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.78752, "energy": 26.836328, "activity_lines": [ 238.166667, 266.3, 258.840476, 238.933333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 255.0, "volume": 10405920, "typical_volume": 8552090.05, "trend": 217.966667, "fair_value": 164.838812, "relative_strength": -5.204452, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.039816, "energy": 26.217566, "activity_lines": [ 238.3, 261.727273, 260.554762, 241.501075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 253.5, "volume": 11151980, "typical_volume": 9040887.25, "trend": 220.483333, "fair_value": 165.483474, "relative_strength": -4.410109, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.828101, "energy": 18.220048, "activity_lines": [ 242.6, 257.390909, 261.661905, 243.793548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }