{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ce2abcd1-898e-4c7a-834c-8d3841cf7cc1",
    "symbol": "601658",
    "name": "Postal Savings Bank of China Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 83.181,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 5.896,
    "architecture_energy": 19.781,
    "architecture_maturity": 97.87,
    "architecture_confidence": 51.754,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.36,
        "rotation_up": 55.73,
        "upward_expansion": 39.34,
        "deceleration": 42.26,
        "rotation_down": 20.07,
        "downward_expansion": 19.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.06698,
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        4.998081,
        5.011042
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 4.96,
    "trend_reference": 5.038168,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.015515,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 4.86667,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.019177,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.221765,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.019763,
    "excess_performance": 0.023441,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015515,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032261,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019177,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025226,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062218,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090437,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019763,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.492113,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 900056000,
      "relative_activity": 1.541822,
      "balance": 1.492113,
      "dry_up": 1.517109,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032392,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.159288,
      "from_high_reference": -0.211929,
      "from_low_reference": 0.040246
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.038168,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.86667,
      "structural_low": 4.768104,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.45,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.45,
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        "worst_return": -0.09292,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.0589,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": 0.029691,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 4.856061,
        "relative_strength": -0.666332,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.18,
        "volume": 985853854,
        "typical_volume": 577084022.65,
        "trend": 5.050379,
        "fair_value": 4.861787,
        "relative_strength": 0.268386,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.35937,
        "energy": 31.813377,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.96,
        "volume": 900056000,
        "typical_volume": 583761243.4,
        "trend": 5.038168,
        "fair_value": 4.86667,
        "relative_strength": -6.221765,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 5.895564,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}