{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ce339b48-8ebe-457d-9b25-ba57e3312ee8", "symbol": "WSRUS", "name": "UBS MSCI World Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.364, "architecture_energy": 71.859, "architecture_maturity": 85.901, "architecture_confidence": 78.146, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 59.06, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.6, "rotation_down": 29.52, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.707666, 33.576545, 32.787786, 31.938333 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 34.509998, "trend_reference": 31.054833, "distance_from_trend": 0.11126, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.272526, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.22062, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.929622, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.16983, "excess_performance": 0.086947, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.11126, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039806, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.22062, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087454, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.019296, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002768, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.16983, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.993273, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30708, "relative_activity": 2.535881, "balance": 1.993273, "dry_up": 1.435517, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017275, "annualized_volatility": 0.116354, "from_high_reference": -0.084834, "from_low_reference": 0.263871 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.054833, "fair_value_reference": 28.272526, "structural_low": 27.305, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.01408, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.000104, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.064835, "worst_return": -0.08146, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.03421, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.022408, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.147113, "worst_return": -0.182768, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.028586, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.012208, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.19884, "worst_return": -0.17608, "sufficient": true }, { 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-0.923508, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.325606, "energy": 86.430634, "activity_lines": [ 33.504333, 33.180182, 32.096929, 31.38429 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 33.139999, "volume": 6641, "typical_volume": 10667.65, "trend": 30.8225, "fair_value": 28.134705, "relative_strength": -0.762064, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.414962, "energy": 66.404563, "activity_lines": [ 33.370999, 33.246, 32.294762, 31.540398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.415001, "volume": 7398, "typical_volume": 10681.4, "trend": 30.9345, "fair_value": 28.198103, "relative_strength": 0.029155, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.213179, "energy": 63.462074, "activity_lines": [ 33.358667, 33.328091, 32.500619, 31.707656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.509998, "volume": 30708, "typical_volume": 12109.4, "trend": 31.054833, "fair_value": 28.272526, "relative_strength": 1.929622, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.364036, "energy": 71.858691, "activity_lines": [ 33.707666, 33.576545, 32.787786, 31.938333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }