{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ce4d1f52-f0d1-4fa4-b2fc-7889ec065c30", "symbol": "BMW", "name": "Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.283, "architecture_energy": 63.918, "architecture_maturity": 75.463, "architecture_confidence": 91.651, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.53, "rotation_up": 27.18, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 58.21, "rotation_down": 56.01, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.813333, 59.439273, 64.369475, 67.856774 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 59.779999, "trend_reference": 72.590461, "distance_from_trend": -0.176476, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 76.846102, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.222082, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.397544, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.285082, "excess_performance": -0.349722, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.176476, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105049, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.222082, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200906, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.283975, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.241421, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.285082, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.24021, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6307902, "relative_activity": 1.29313, "balance": 1.24021, "dry_up": 1.461836, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060658, "annualized_volatility": 0.315616, "from_high_reference": -0.354296, "from_low_reference": 0.059929 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.590461, "fair_value_reference": 76.846102, 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70.9273 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 56.959999, "volume": 6675688, "typical_volume": 4920144.2, "trend": 74.556833, "fair_value": 77.186616, "relative_strength": -29.378266, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.925769, "energy": 84.777946, "activity_lines": [ 58.237333, 60.78, 66.241602, 69.72611 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.3, "volume": 8294608, "typical_volume": 5010789.55, "trend": 73.497888, "fair_value": 77.003759, "relative_strength": -27.564729, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.277227, "energy": 65.988151, "activity_lines": [ 58.453333, 59.928, 65.240855, 68.741799 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.779999, "volume": 6307902, "typical_volume": 4878012.15, "trend": 72.590461, "fair_value": 76.846102, "relative_strength": -28.397544, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.283126, "energy": 63.91818, "activity_lines": [ 58.813333, 59.439273, 64.369475, 67.856774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }