{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ce568b26-5e5a-42e7-b259-126d4151ce41", "symbol": "301127", "name": "Wuhan Tianyuan Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 52.9, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -9.696, "architecture_energy": 11.734, "architecture_maturity": 33.638, "architecture_confidence": 60.392, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.21, "rotation_up": 27.8, "upward_expansion": 14.17, "deceleration": 58.33, "rotation_down": 42.97, "downward_expansion": 41.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.503333, 16.19482, 15.610188, 15.730072 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 15.83, "trend_reference": 16.160848, "distance_from_trend": -0.020472, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.163055, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.301482, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.311798, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.086555, "excess_performance": -0.093955, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.020472, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024719, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.301482, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028271, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.003118, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.234672, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.086555, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.875326, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 172132057, "relative_activity": 2.083806, "balance": 0.875326, "dry_up": 2.160504, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.203241, "annualized_volatility": 1.036133, "from_high_reference": -0.252105, "from_low_reference": 0.346088 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.160848, "fair_value_reference": 12.163055, "structural_low": 11.76, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.03975, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.066091, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.16644, "worst_return": -0.117065, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.004921, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.080709, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.337877, "worst_return": -0.234556, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.072578, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.080963, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.732843, "worst_return": -0.174011, "sufficient": false }, { 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15.000424, 15.503637 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 20.128231, "volume": 37203046, "typical_volume": 55531053.6, "trend": 16.055848, "fair_value": 11.870238, "relative_strength": 13.131495, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.048517, "energy": 39.781949, "activity_lines": [ 17.18434, 15.715314, 15.431269, 15.776582 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 18.01, "volume": 152978559, "typical_volume": 59035474.75, "trend": 16.162848, "fair_value": 11.943418, "relative_strength": 5.710335, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.525212, "energy": 39.135265, "activity_lines": [ 17.900645, 16.275579, 15.649053, 15.902657 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.26, "volume": 143111333, "typical_volume": 64129188.5, "trend": 16.161848, "fair_value": 11.997545, "relative_strength": -1.056568, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.817608, "energy": 31.688342, "activity_lines": [ 17.397087, 16.257843, 15.605408, 15.844409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.049999, "volume": 187492821, "typical_volume": 69629134.15, "trend": 16.280848, "fair_value": 12.0757, "relative_strength": 23.016427, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.141196, "energy": 47.421702, "activity_lines": [ 17.954504, 16.916835, 15.933763, 16.030741 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.93, "volume": 211134305, "typical_volume": 76967103.9, "trend": 16.139514, "fair_value": 12.107101, "relative_strength": -21.1944, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.163895, "energy": 13.675176, "activity_lines": [ 15.851882, 16.179464, 15.573547, 15.750041 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.83, "volume": 172132057, "typical_volume": 82604643.05, "trend": 16.160848, "fair_value": 12.163055, "relative_strength": -0.311798, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -9.695734, "energy": 11.733651, "activity_lines": [ 15.503333, 16.19482, 15.610188, 15.730072 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }