{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ce5a9715-c8ed-444c-88a7-b29e310fe4dd", "symbol": "BIOWKS", "name": "Bio-Works Technologies AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.738, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 5.841, "architecture_energy": 7.907, "architecture_maturity": 17.328, "architecture_confidence": 73.262, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.81, "rotation_up": 22.26, "upward_expansion": 39.76, "deceleration": 79.2, "rotation_down": 30.16, "downward_expansion": 33.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.345333, 3.376909, 3.498667, 3.452559 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.26, "trend_reference": 3.342667, "distance_from_trend": -0.024731, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.230472, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.009141, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.299039, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.189781, "excess_performance": 0.128287, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.024731, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101373, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.009141, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.238484, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.04299, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141192, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.189781, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.334358, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 197167, "relative_activity": 0.688131, "balance": 1.334358, "dry_up": 0.713641, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.204106, "annualized_volatility": 0.646286, "from_high_reference": -0.303419, "from_low_reference": 0.605911 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.342667, "fair_value_reference": 3.230472, "structural_low": 2.51, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.100629, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.077829, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.524078, "worst_return": -0.107972, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.097046, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.038378, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.430168, "worst_return": -0.331307, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.132682, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.137036, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.834951, "worst_return": -0.554205, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2023-04-14", "end": "2023-05-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.169231, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-05-12", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.936568, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.242718, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.248648, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.186992, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.198529, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.395604, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.211382, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.251825, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.025157, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 9.98, "volume": 149397, "typical_volume": 109106.95, "trend": 16.680667, "fair_value": 16.828269, "relative_strength": -44.48577, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established 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3.599273, 3.55581, 3.438387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.4, "volume": 251997, "typical_volume": 338897.45, "trend": 3.275333, "fair_value": 3.413677, "relative_strength": 5.463781, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.974381, "energy": 17.60498, "activity_lines": [ 3.384667, 3.550909, 3.549524, 3.44871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.21, "volume": 196440, "typical_volume": 311952.15, "trend": 3.307333, "fair_value": 3.35092, "relative_strength": -2.43091, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.399801, "energy": 12.229304, "activity_lines": [ 3.319333, 3.463273, 3.522905, 3.444495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.5, "volume": 172301, "typical_volume": 297165.6, "trend": 3.327667, "fair_value": 3.286497, "relative_strength": 4.547612, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.51098, "energy": 9.074029, "activity_lines": [ 3.374667, 3.436727, 3.523714, 3.456925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.26, "volume": 197167, "typical_volume": 286525.5, "trend": 3.342667, "fair_value": 3.230472, "relative_strength": -4.299039, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.840852, "energy": 7.906698, "activity_lines": [ 3.345333, 3.376909, 3.498667, 3.452559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }