{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ce67df79-d7ad-44c7-a287-407d3b8ff6ce", "symbol": "SIN", "name": "Solution International Nordics AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.153, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -8.578, "architecture_energy": 7.888, "architecture_maturity": 17.528, "architecture_confidence": 48.536, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.74, "rotation_up": 25.53, "upward_expansion": 15.52, "deceleration": 60.44, "rotation_down": 42.19, "downward_expansion": 40.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.1, 3.152909, 3.298524, 3.271398 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.2, "trend_reference": 3.247667, "distance_from_trend": -0.014677, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.235968, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.431148, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.579015, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.015873, "excess_performance": -0.045621, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014677, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059011, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.431148, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110984, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.10579, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.397734, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.015873, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.238868, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3599, "relative_activity": 0.135618, "balance": 0.238868, "dry_up": 0.379609, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.285577, "annualized_volatility": 0.525117, "from_high_reference": -0.54023, "from_low_reference": 1.38806 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.247667, "fair_value_reference": 2.235968, "structural_low": 2.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.057692, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.067051, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.584775, "worst_return": -0.29471, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.08945, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.153555, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.745358, "worst_return": -0.322975, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.292683, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.380828, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.200669, "worst_return": -0.56968, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.491289, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.325069, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.214047, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.221264, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.696296, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.693396, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.148571, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.492248, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.037838, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.015385, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 2.51, "volume": 5734, "typical_volume": 21200.35, "trend": 8.179333, "fair_value": 56.636418, "relative_strength": -75.648263, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.0, "volume": 9497, "typical_volume": 31158.85, "trend": 3.282667, "fair_value": 2.267827, "relative_strength": -10.043078, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.564034, "energy": 16.686488, "activity_lines": [ 3.155333, 3.349636, 3.353381, 3.306452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.39, "volume": 13172, "typical_volume": 30208.0, "trend": 3.276, "fair_value": 2.258147, "relative_strength": 1.726404, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.679619, "energy": 10.848748, "activity_lines": [ 3.190667, 3.332364, 3.36581, 3.313376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.0, "volume": 12335, "typical_volume": 27288.95, "trend": 3.259333, "fair_value": 2.24616, "relative_strength": -12.088954, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.166525, "energy": 13.749492, "activity_lines": [ 3.114, 3.252545, 3.339619, 3.29557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.93, "volume": 11190, "typical_volume": 27186.7, "trend": 3.245333, "fair_value": 2.239301, "relative_strength": -15.855852, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.653095, "energy": 15.595021, "activity_lines": [ 3.051333, 3.172727, 3.30619, 3.274323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.2, "volume": 3599, "typical_volume": 26537.8, "trend": 3.247667, "fair_value": 2.235968, "relative_strength": -10.579015, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.578143, "energy": 7.887529, "activity_lines": [ 3.1, 3.152909, 3.298524, 3.271398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }