{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ce7a23f5-74c4-49b2-94e0-20fb95415d49", "symbol": "S&SPOWER", "name": "S&S Power Switchgear Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 55.756, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -31.397, "architecture_energy": 52.774, "architecture_maturity": 7.626, "architecture_confidence": 82.283, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.81, "rotation_up": 14.38, "upward_expansion": 24.68, "deceleration": 51.08, "rotation_down": 68.42, "downward_expansion": 52.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 327.290006, 343.335459, 359.248335, 355.640969 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 317.950012, "trend_reference": 342.0, "distance_from_trend": -0.070322, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 310.271089, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.024749, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.316915, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.271037, "excess_performance": 0.314747, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070322, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078099, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.024749, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.370822, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.063169, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.254004, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.271037, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.396218, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29830, "relative_activity": 3.924096, "balance": 0.396218, "dry_up": 2.471339, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10085, "annualized_volatility": 0.573868, "from_high_reference": -0.321924, "from_low_reference": 0.643153 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 342.0, "fair_value_reference": 310.271089, "structural_low": 245.5, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.188506, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.158815, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.539889, "worst_return": -0.392523, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.141365, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.146598, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.346939, "worst_return": -0.29595, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.268542, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.240532, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 4.432282, "worst_return": 0.159848, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"2026-07-10", "close": 368.5, "volume": 12237, "typical_volume": 5725.75, "trend": 336.699999, "fair_value": 303.610512, "relative_strength": 8.894945, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.816806, "energy": 18.079221, "activity_lines": [ 370.706667, 376.751818, 374.076428, 359.221634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 317.700012, "volume": 19184, "typical_volume": 6059.4, "trend": 338.323666, "fair_value": 305.237756, "relative_strength": -6.1668, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -12.673737, "energy": 21.23266, "activity_lines": [ 351.460004, 365.517275, 369.681191, 357.995828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 347.299988, "volume": 13336, "typical_volume": 6291.65, "trend": 340.661666, "fair_value": 307.018525, "relative_strength": 5.074769, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.471387, "energy": 22.564652, "activity_lines": [ 346.706665, 361.104545, 368.032857, 358.574945 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 318.450012, "volume": 12796, "typical_volume": 6223.95, "trend": 341.214999, "fair_value": 308.638397, "relative_strength": -5.808998, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.455029, "energy": 45.614779, "activity_lines": [ 335.080003, 351.877275, 363.559525, 357.141935 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 317.950012, "volume": 29830, "typical_volume": 7601.75, "trend": 342.0, "fair_value": 310.271089, "relative_strength": -6.316915, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.397075, "energy": 52.774348, "activity_lines": [ 327.290006, 343.335459, 359.248335, 355.640969 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }