{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ce8a1e50-b791-4979-a565-c7456d8b160e", "symbol": "SG", "name": "Sweetgreen Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 84.024, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -32.801, "architecture_energy": 36.531, "architecture_maturity": 65.257, "architecture_confidence": 69.807, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.98, "rotation_up": 14.23, "upward_expansion": 16.45, "deceleration": 61.29, "rotation_down": 68.41, "downward_expansion": 43.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.221333, 7.139091, 7.620619, 7.309226 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.4, "trend_reference": 6.963333, "distance_from_trend": -0.224509, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.341154, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.688602, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.265786, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.111842, "excess_performance": -0.237467, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.224509, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045075, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.688602, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08392, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.332658, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049051, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.111842, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.814589, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 51586798, "relative_activity": 1.956983, "balance": 0.814589, "dry_up": 1.34925, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.31733, "annualized_volatility": 0.884488, "from_high_reference": -0.492004, "from_low_reference": 0.202673 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.963333, "fair_value_reference": 17.341154, "structural_low": 4.49, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.039466, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": -0.046488, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.388473, "worst_return": -0.343545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.00347, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.08186, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.422002, "worst_return": -0.309344, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.311741, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.31958, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.559062, "worst_return": -0.323779, "sufficient": false 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.358882, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.355459, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.140239, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.179541, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.634906, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-06", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.900521, "energy": 15.824181, "activity_lines": [ 8.16, 8.482909, 8.032762, 7.525118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.0, "volume": 32703553, "typical_volume": 24680760.05, "trend": 7.06, "fair_value": 17.447115, "relative_strength": -25.055583, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.776428, "energy": 14.498501, "activity_lines": [ 7.338667, 7.998545, 7.903143, 7.454645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.45, "volume": 20825788, "typical_volume": 24728396.2, "trend": 7.044, "fair_value": 17.394103, "relative_strength": -18.755716, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.534673, "energy": 25.938995, "activity_lines": [ 6.865333, 7.634, 7.814571, 7.41529 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.4, "volume": 51586798, "typical_volume": 26360371.6, "trend": 6.963333, "fair_value": 17.341154, "relative_strength": -33.265786, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.801454, "energy": 36.531047, "activity_lines": [ 6.221333, 7.139091, 7.620619, 7.309226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }