{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ce971896-2462-4913-926d-7971ae7223dc",
    "symbol": "PDO",
    "name": "PIMCO Dynamic Income Opportunities Fund",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 91.634,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 21.1,
    "architecture_energy": 13.9,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.424,
    "architecture_confidence": 51.156,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.4,
        "rotation_up": 42.38,
        "upward_expansion": 46.87,
        "deceleration": 41.87,
        "rotation_down": 29.18,
        "downward_expansion": 9.87
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.054767,
        13.040508,
        12.979857,
        12.96402
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 13.08,
    "trend_reference": 13.012704,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.005172,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 11.439472,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.143409,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.179967,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.026106,
    "excess_performance": -0.151731,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005172,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000857,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143409,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027615,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.1018,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011246,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026106,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.875945,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3137183,
      "relative_activity": 1.030342,
      "balance": 1.875945,
      "dry_up": 0.907859,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024637,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.152774,
      "from_high_reference": -0.042374,
      "from_low_reference": 0.08881
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.012704,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.439472,
      "structural_low": 12.01312,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.004208,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010673,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.071409,
        "worst_return": -0.087691,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.020196,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050296,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.032226,
        "worst_return": -0.062632,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.018322,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.044113,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.014482,
        "worst_return": -0.051125,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.0192,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.070257,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.0192,
        "worst_return": -0.0192,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2023-07-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014402,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2023-08-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-09-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.044554,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.125697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.017311,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002494,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 2539623,
        "typical_volume": 3377690.05,
        "trend": 13.028098,
        "fair_value": 11.368667,
        "relative_strength": -6.512529,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.323802,
        "energy": 39.265585,
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          13.118874,
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          12.966489
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.91,
        "volume": 2545670,
        "typical_volume": 3247232.85,
        "trend": 13.021733,
        "fair_value": 11.391563,
        "relative_strength": -7.713706,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.220741,
        "energy": 25.981947,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.068114,
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          12.95887
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.04,
        "volume": 2834508,
        "typical_volume": 3134348.75,
        "trend": 13.018441,
        "fair_value": 11.415384,
        "relative_strength": -7.566277,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.942245,
        "energy": 18.767981,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.056332,
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          12.960049
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.08,
        "volume": 3137183,
        "typical_volume": 3044796.35,
        "trend": 13.012704,
        "fair_value": 11.439472,
        "relative_strength": -10.179967,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.100308,
        "energy": 13.900376,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.054767,
          13.040508,
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          12.96402
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}