{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ceab3e4f-fc23-4a64-b39b-d262abb36a4d",
    "symbol": "WY",
    "name": "Weyerhaeuser Company",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 66.213,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 29.414,
    "architecture_energy": 31.673,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.651,
    "architecture_confidence": 46.436,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.17,
        "rotation_up": 49.72,
        "upward_expansion": 50.18,
        "deceleration": 30.9,
        "rotation_down": 29.48,
        "downward_expansion": 20.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        24.818,
        24.582727,
        24.351513,
        24.289494
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 25.58,
    "trend_reference": 24.463464,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.045641,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.04852,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.054292,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.262161,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.023142,
    "excess_performance": -0.148767,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045641,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026238,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054292,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095497,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052622,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094857,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023142,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.798582,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 32554691,
      "relative_activity": 1.278689,
      "balance": 1.798582,
      "dry_up": 1.061984,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.057927,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.243633,
      "from_high_reference": -0.062216,
      "from_low_reference": 0.241766
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.463464,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.04852,
      "structural_low": 22.214435,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.005722,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02856,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.115786,
        "worst_return": -0.11549,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.009795,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.067793,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.065451,
        "worst_return": -0.144973,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.039203,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.122024,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.138058,
        "worst_return": -0.145196,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.011567,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.219965,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.043784,
        "worst_return": -0.121091,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.020444,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019497,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.132315,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.078957,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.012671,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.110067,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.048351,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.051411,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.033968,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.044935,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 1,
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        "energy": 8.44275,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.94,
        "volume": 21101623,
        "typical_volume": 25408669.45,
        "trend": 24.399328,
        "fair_value": 27.109884,
        "relative_strength": -7.818952,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.970146,
        "energy": 17.832369,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.06,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.03,
        "volume": 30814728,
        "typical_volume": 25221787.2,
        "trend": 24.453848,
        "fair_value": 27.077849,
        "relative_strength": -4.358736,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -14.328945,
        "energy": 6.075444,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.338,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 25.58,
        "volume": 32554691,
        "typical_volume": 25459427.35,
        "trend": 24.463464,
        "fair_value": 27.04852,
        "relative_strength": -5.262161,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.414431,
        "energy": 31.672764,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}