{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cec0346b-9f1b-4f8a-ac25-f87aabd3dbb1", "symbol": "CREDITACC", "name": "CreditAccess Grameen Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.655, "architecture_energy": 56.213, "architecture_maturity": 23.828, "architecture_confidence": 91.126, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.74, "rotation_up": 60.29, "upward_expansion": 83.2, "deceleration": 55.07, "rotation_down": 19.41, "downward_expansion": 9.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 1534.479989, 1508.234548, 1433.380479, 1382.167961 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1523.599976, "trend_reference": 1334.716671, "distance_from_trend": 0.141516, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1292.078292, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.179185, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.532915, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.181177, "excess_performance": 0.224886, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.141516, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038822, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.179185, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009929, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.145329, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057223, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.181177, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.048961, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1267162, "relative_activity": 0.590458, "balance": 1.048961, "dry_up": 1.046939, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061772, "annualized_volatility": 0.362189, "from_high_reference": -0.067564, "from_low_reference": 0.368913 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1334.716671, "fair_value_reference": 1292.078292, "structural_low": 1113.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.017405, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.003374, "regime_survival": 0.84, "best_return": 0.31498, "worst_return": -0.076128, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.10921, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.081175, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.527673, "worst_return": -0.068207, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.229255, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.172763, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.646119, "worst_return": -0.168206, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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1338.581083 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1517.599976, "volume": 1220796, "typical_volume": 1938533.75, "trend": 1318.020003, "fair_value": 1290.243868, "relative_strength": 19.022712, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.414465, "energy": 75.411164, "activity_lines": [ 1511.153337, 1460.445466, 1392.180959, 1352.007748 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1590.0, "volume": 5134522, "typical_volume": 2142718.05, "trend": 1328.096671, "fair_value": 1291.1998, "relative_strength": 20.922454, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.841944, "energy": 71.559877, "activity_lines": [ 1538.139998, 1493.243646, 1416.964291, 1369.554844 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1523.599976, "volume": 1267162, "typical_volume": 2146065.85, "trend": 1334.716671, "fair_value": 1292.078292, "relative_strength": 14.532915, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.655483, "energy": 56.212705, "activity_lines": [ 1534.479989, 1508.234548, 1433.380479, 1382.167961 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }