{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cece31bf-ecfc-4691-b285-83c70bb1f74d", "symbol": "2364", "name": "Twinhead International Corp.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 75.057, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.919, "architecture_energy": 71.407, "architecture_maturity": 19.366, "architecture_confidence": 63.461, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.14, "rotation_up": 72.78, "upward_expansion": 87.6, "deceleration": 45.29, "rotation_down": 10.38, "downward_expansion": 14.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 74.226667, 71.498181, 69.850476, 68.318494 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 81.0, "trend_reference": 66.553333, "distance_from_trend": 0.217069, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 64.445308, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.25688, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.622685, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.296, "excess_performance": -0.145372, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.217069, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00554, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.25688, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.18594, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.176227, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.179283, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.296, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.958164, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3370183, "relative_activity": 2.110812, "balance": 1.958164, "dry_up": 0.969019, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073789, "annualized_volatility": 0.340424, "from_high_reference": -0.115126, "from_low_reference": 0.361345 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 66.553333, "fair_value_reference": 64.445308, "structural_low": 59.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.051993, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.097804, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.912799, "worst_return": -0.393451, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.10333, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.202395, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 2.837375, "worst_return": -0.37017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.101042, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.287149, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 2.524012, "worst_return": -0.440678, "sufficient": true }, { 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1059549, "typical_volume": 1394526.4, "trend": 65.763333, "fair_value": 63.653831, "relative_strength": -30.883231, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.263957, "energy": 16.422997, "activity_lines": [ 67.259999, 68.150908, 67.194285, 66.329677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 71.199997, "volume": 921620, "typical_volume": 1415481.5, "trend": 65.853333, "fair_value": 63.829252, "relative_strength": -27.379029, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.012708, "energy": 23.001456, "activity_lines": [ 68.613331, 68.627271, 67.687618, 66.68043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 70.300003, "volume": 969744, "typical_volume": 1440452.65, "trend": 65.956667, "fair_value": 63.995869, "relative_strength": -26.458057, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.946096, "energy": 28.331521, "activity_lines": [ 69.446666, 68.861818, 68.052857, 66.967312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 72.0, "volume": 927109, "typical_volume": 1446890.35, "trend": 66.1, "fair_value": 64.184308, "relative_strength": -25.461932, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.471177, "energy": 38.08702, "activity_lines": [ 70.466667, 69.394545, 68.544762, 67.357204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 81.0, "volume": 3370183, "typical_volume": 1596628.95, "trend": 66.553333, "fair_value": 64.445308, "relative_strength": -17.622685, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.919073, "energy": 71.40685, "activity_lines": [ 74.226667, 71.498181, 69.850476, 68.318494 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }