{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ced3fb8b-31a1-430c-9708-b8077e9de889", "symbol": "140950", "name": "Kyobo AXA Power K100 ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 72.484, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -11.581, "architecture_energy": 29.431, "architecture_maturity": 63.519, "architecture_confidence": 81.596, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.07, "rotation_up": 14.04, "upward_expansion": 43.04, "deceleration": 87.87, "rotation_down": 53.66, "downward_expansion": 39.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 82388.502604, 90320.81321, 92295.423066, 87252.752487 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 77120.0, "trend_reference": 79626.839583, "distance_from_trend": -0.031482, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 38401.473783, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.008256, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.858378, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.331718, "excess_performance": 0.101889, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031482, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.272444, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.008256, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.781538, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.078584, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038955, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.331718, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.064168, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17320, "relative_activity": 0.943514, "balance": 1.064168, "dry_up": 0.929106, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.154439, "annualized_volatility": 0.52388, "from_high_reference": -0.359309, "from_low_reference": 1.454938 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 79626.839583, "fair_value_reference": 38401.473783, "structural_low": 57935.017293, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.007619, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.000511, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.318814, "worst_return": -0.0625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.064071, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.012668, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.391479, "worst_return": -0.068693, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.014131, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.007247, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.090288, "worst_return": -0.062026, "sufficient": false }, { 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"relative_strength": 7.858378, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -11.580721, "energy": 29.431466, "activity_lines": [ 82388.502604, 90320.81321, 92295.423066, 87252.752487 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }