{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cef6a143-ab2a-4868-b139-18115b029116",
    "symbol": "C4D",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - AMUNDI CAC 40 ESG UCITS ETF DR - EUR (D)",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 80.202,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.767,
    "architecture_energy": 62.674,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.94,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.01,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.03,
        "rotation_up": 56.99,
        "upward_expansion": 81.83,
        "deceleration": 55.54,
        "rotation_down": 22.74,
        "downward_expansion": 10.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        87.149334,
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        85.143334,
        83.988968
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 89.470001,
    "trend_reference": 83.075,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.076979,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 76.459511,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.170162,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.212405,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.069064,
    "excess_performance": 0.015753,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076979,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0136,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.170162,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085424,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012124,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021516,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069064,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.582148,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14022,
      "relative_activity": 0.480264,
      "balance": 1.582148,
      "dry_up": 0.495642,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023429,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.187773,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002675,
      "from_low_reference": 0.211838
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 76.459511,
      "structural_low": 73.830002,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": -0.002057,
        "positive_rate": 0.457143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.457143,
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        "regime_survival": 0.771429,
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        "worst_return": -0.117158,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.098344,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.152246,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.058516,
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -28.58185,
        "energy": 21.720227,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.262665,
          80.223817,
          81.241523,
          81.723243
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 80.830002,
        "volume": 11311,
        "typical_volume": 28565.8,
        "trend": 82.15463,
        "fair_value": 75.003159,
        "relative_strength": -1.727386,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.72423,
        "energy": 22.761865,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.482,
          80.25709,
          81.132619,
          81.633243
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 81.449997,
        "volume": 49932,
        "typical_volume": 30593.5,
        "trend": 82.158684,
        "fair_value": 75.087248,
        "relative_strength": -0.939161,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.462325,
        "energy": 18.904805,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.570666,
          80.486908,
          81.090666,
          81.587782
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 80.0,
        "volume": 48215,
        "typical_volume": 32917.5,
        "trend": 82.027592,
        "fair_value": 75.154204,
        "relative_strength": -0.74281,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.874074,
        "energy": 13.829109,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.972666,
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          80.919714,
          81.448512
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 82.209999,
        "volume": 58469,
        "typical_volume": 35446.5,
        "trend": 81.956138,
        "fair_value": 75.244756,
        "relative_strength": -0.045556,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -12.04187,
        "energy": 5.80716,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.213333,
          80.995272,
          80.971904,
          81.460281
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 83.300003,
        "volume": 54806,
        "typical_volume": 36960.75,
        "trend": 81.960313,
        "fair_value": 75.341882,
        "relative_strength": 0.450861,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -4.030165,
        "energy": 6.899124,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.938,
          81.581091,
          81.133952,
          81.546982
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 83.639999,
        "volume": 7765,
        "typical_volume": 37030.9,
        "trend": 82.043197,
        "fair_value": 75.444429,
        "relative_strength": 0.441088,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.275795,
        "energy": 20.927086,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.632,
          82.085636,
          81.338285,
          81.655349
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 85.160004,
        "volume": 6556,
        "typical_volume": 36862.05,
        "trend": 82.101922,
        "fair_value": 75.544993,
        "relative_strength": 0.635883,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.190679,
        "energy": 42.596239,
        "activity_lines": [
          83.645335,
          82.723455,
          81.688619,
          81.856433
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 86.57,
        "volume": 5021,
        "typical_volume": 36788.9,
        "trend": 82.275995,
        "fair_value": 75.668149,
        "relative_strength": 1.425345,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.718902,
        "energy": 60.188211,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.881335,
          83.494728,
          82.160524,
          82.144696
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 86.32,
        "volume": 14085,
        "typical_volume": 33153.75,
        "trend": 82.393793,
        "fair_value": 75.77385,
        "relative_strength": 1.549412,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.798739,
        "energy": 73.299388,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.596001,
          84.12891,
          82.586476,
          82.405599
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 87.860001,
        "volume": 424,
        "typical_volume": 31912.6,
        "trend": 82.560333,
        "fair_value": 75.908162,
        "relative_strength": 1.840874,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.131478,
        "energy": 80.603489,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.550001,
          85.001273,
          83.146572,
          82.758258
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 85.720001,
        "volume": 11502,
        "typical_volume": 31633.25,
        "trend": 82.668,
        "fair_value": 76.012316,
        "relative_strength": 1.355934,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.408189,
        "energy": 73.255472,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.486668,
          85.362364,
          83.482715,
          82.962108
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 85.510002,
        "volume": 10682,
        "typical_volume": 31791.85,
        "trend": 82.739667,
        "fair_value": 76.112884,
        "relative_strength": 1.100841,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.809309,
        "energy": 64.950815,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.214668,
          85.596365,
          83.797524,
          83.145463
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 85.290001,
        "volume": 18038,
        "typical_volume": 30102.8,
        "trend": 82.827333,
        "fair_value": 76.2088,
        "relative_strength": 0.447037,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.317883,
        "energy": 44.230483,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.846001,
          85.716547,
          84.095477,
          83.31
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 86.82,
        "volume": 15142,
        "typical_volume": 29340.75,
        "trend": 82.938667,
        "fair_value": 76.326192,
        "relative_strength": 0.598822,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.221697,
        "energy": 41.801411,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.072668,
          86.018728,
          84.512715,
          83.567592
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 89.470001,
        "volume": 14022,
        "typical_volume": 29196.45,
        "trend": 83.075,
        "fair_value": 76.459511,
        "relative_strength": 1.212405,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.766606,
        "energy": 62.674155,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.149334,
          86.71891,
          85.143334,
          83.988968
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}