{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cf00a7cb-6899-46ca-8638-172f336677e2", "symbol": "PRO", "name": "ProService Building Services Marketplace Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.441, "architecture_energy": 54.21, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.921, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.28, "rotation_up": 27.15, "upward_expansion": 8.87, "deceleration": 55.93, "rotation_down": 55.18, "downward_expansion": 84.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.02288, 0.023735, 0.027652, 0.03485 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.02655, "trend_reference": 0.0454, "distance_from_trend": -0.415198, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.074487, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.643563, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -61.862591, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.63125, "excess_performance": -0.682485, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.415198, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.302576, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.643563, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059345, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.618626, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041028, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.63125, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.843628, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2930523, "relative_activity": 1.550428, "balance": 0.843628, "dry_up": 1.184089, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.277155, "annualized_volatility": 0.910092, "from_high_reference": -0.758636, "from_low_reference": 0.512821 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0454, "fair_value_reference": 0.074487, "structural_low": 0.01755, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.028848, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.030158, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.189188, "worst_return": -0.357143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.038558, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": -0.049686, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.207568, "worst_return": -0.538991, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.153293, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.194165, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.090922, "worst_return": -0.691718, "sufficient": 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75.106254, "activity_lines": [ 0.023513, 0.02594, 0.03163, 0.039819 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.02175, "volume": 4690430, "typical_volume": 1807804.4, "trend": 0.048418, "fair_value": 0.075907, "relative_strength": -69.715212, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.766959, "energy": 59.833985, "activity_lines": [ 0.02241, 0.024778, 0.029958, 0.037981 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.02, "volume": 551363, "typical_volume": 1767876.8, "trend": 0.046655, "fair_value": 0.075178, "relative_strength": -71.826191, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.213961, "energy": 67.327487, "activity_lines": [ 0.021353, 0.02353, 0.028374, 0.036147 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.02655, "volume": 2930523, "typical_volume": 1890138.6, "trend": 0.0454, "fair_value": 0.074487, "relative_strength": -61.862591, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.441071, "energy": 54.209874, "activity_lines": [ 0.02288, 0.023735, 0.027652, 0.03485 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }