{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cf1f2cd2-57ec-4f96-ab50-8bc3f3877989", "symbol": "GNCL", "name": "Gencell Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.141, "architecture_energy": 50.038, "architecture_maturity": 50.594, "architecture_confidence": 94.71, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.99, "rotation_up": 22.72, "upward_expansion": 7.89, "deceleration": 47.35, "rotation_down": 51.93, "downward_expansion": 78.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.872067, 0.892745, 0.936776, 1.00752 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.845, "trend_reference": 1.1236, "distance_from_trend": -0.247953, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.841397, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.702611, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.084123, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.450942, "excess_performance": -0.479842, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.247953, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037272, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.702611, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017893, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.350841, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016241, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.450942, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.726656, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10874, "relative_activity": 0.175762, "balance": 0.726656, "dry_up": 0.630995, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128266, "annualized_volatility": 0.564538, "from_high_reference": -0.59375, "from_low_reference": 0.111842 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.1236, "fair_value_reference": 2.841397, "structural_low": 0.8, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.059986, "positive_rate": 0.341463, "directional_follow_through": 0.634146, "median_excess_return": -0.069008, "regime_survival": 0.853659, "best_return": 0.429869, "worst_return": -0.238833, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.160097, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.236025, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.243189, "worst_return": -0.470067, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.267962, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.454751, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": -0.047427, "worst_return": -0.604231, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.169845, "energy": 40.500164, "activity_lines": [ 0.926333, 0.931855, 1.000271, 1.071778 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.94, "volume": 23837, "typical_volume": 75057.5, "trend": 1.125567, "fair_value": 2.972481, "relative_strength": -30.091619, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.305628, "energy": 33.543621, "activity_lines": [ 0.9356, 0.930618, 0.988029, 1.059697 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.853, "volume": 114765, "typical_volume": 66571.0, "trend": 1.124133, "fair_value": 2.928301, "relative_strength": -37.521264, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.186271, "energy": 40.964323, "activity_lines": [ 0.908933, 0.916491, 0.968643, 1.042112 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.868, "volume": 6677, "typical_volume": 63837.15, "trend": 1.125033, "fair_value": 2.883256, "relative_strength": -34.089817, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.050264, "energy": 42.07838, "activity_lines": [ 0.893333, 0.906073, 0.952971, 1.025587 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.845, "volume": 10874, "typical_volume": 61867.75, "trend": 1.1236, "fair_value": 2.841397, "relative_strength": -35.084123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.140546, "energy": 50.038376, "activity_lines": [ 0.872067, 0.892745, 0.936776, 1.00752 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }