{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cf469b93-eb68-443b-9fee-b0abbef6117c", "symbol": "688049", "name": "Actions Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.505, "architecture_energy": 34.771, "architecture_maturity": 58.081, "architecture_confidence": 79.286, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.54, "rotation_up": 17.4, "upward_expansion": 3.44, "deceleration": 55.38, "rotation_down": 49.1, "downward_expansion": 72.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.807332, 42.307591, 43.780347, 45.19214 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 42.509998, "trend_reference": 47.775774, "distance_from_trend": -0.110219, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.39844, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.2009, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.830079, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.23653, "excess_performance": -0.193326, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.110219, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065601, "read": "Falling" 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"invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.006332, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.006247, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.262424, "worst_return": -0.184152, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.061567, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.030302, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.306897, "worst_return": -0.015122, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.045329, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.003613, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.001379, "worst_return": -0.089279, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 35.046318, "relative_strength": -24.572006, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.516898, "energy": 52.116967, "activity_lines": [ 41.831848, 42.826173, 44.580394, 46.339925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.369999, "volume": 70478825, "typical_volume": 27326191.45, "trend": 48.585441, "fair_value": 35.173394, "relative_strength": -9.947597, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.87108, "energy": 34.539043, "activity_lines": [ 42.317333, 42.863527, 44.453188, 46.055853 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.799999, "volume": 63676601, "typical_volume": 29528397.4, "trend": 48.112108, "fair_value": 35.268114, "relative_strength": -17.270919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.019486, "energy": 37.865025, "activity_lines": [ 41.704, 42.346258, 44.014791, 45.553567 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.509998, "volume": 44031507, "typical_volume": 30540492.75, "trend": 47.775774, "fair_value": 35.39844, "relative_strength": -15.830079, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.505427, "energy": 34.770515, "activity_lines": [ 41.807332, 42.307591, 43.780347, 45.19214 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }