{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cf4a81d6-85b5-4282-96fd-185f05ce3f9f", "symbol": "300676", "name": "BGI Genomics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -16.446, "architecture_energy": 15.17, "architecture_maturity": 96.076, "architecture_confidence": 62.501, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.61, "rotation_up": 33.46, "upward_expansion": 20.42, "deceleration": 43.89, "rotation_down": 16.58, "downward_expansion": 52.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.001999, 37.010363, 37.272238, 38.700365 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 39.959999, "trend_reference": 41.528667, "distance_from_trend": -0.037773, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 45.641622, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.124483, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.184322, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.209964, "excess_performance": -0.217364, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037773, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07684, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.124483, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032087, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.141843, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141325, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.209964, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.620039, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44297515, "relative_activity": 1.562648, "balance": 0.620039, "dry_up": 1.444495, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074806, "annualized_volatility": 0.289738, "from_high_reference": -0.385231, "from_low_reference": 0.21755 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.528667, "fair_value_reference": 45.641622, "structural_low": 32.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.01724, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.55, "median_excess_return": -0.009819, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.362356, "worst_return": -0.221274, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.068804, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.066901, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.430064, "worst_return": -0.224649, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.176448, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.044331, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.865805, "worst_return": -0.277996, "sufficient": 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"activity_lines": [ 35.786667, 36.028727, 37.656143, 39.861591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 35.939999, "volume": 54140918, "typical_volume": 26480011.95, "trend": 42.279333, "fair_value": 46.032425, "relative_strength": -22.135375, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.448278, "energy": 36.329491, "activity_lines": [ 35.951333, 35.832363, 37.325428, 39.431591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.5, "volume": 30857602, "typical_volume": 26388959.65, "trend": 41.966, "fair_value": 45.889598, "relative_strength": -20.387341, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.950848, "energy": 29.326289, "activity_lines": [ 36.187333, 35.867636, 37.108286, 39.058731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.16, "volume": 34496589, "typical_volume": 27133899.45, "trend": 41.708667, "fair_value": 45.756069, "relative_strength": -14.633763, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.733665, "energy": 22.505858, "activity_lines": [ 36.911333, 36.282, 37.090143, 38.813183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.959999, "volume": 44297515, "typical_volume": 28347733.1, "trend": 41.528667, "fair_value": 45.641622, "relative_strength": -14.184322, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.445869, "energy": 15.170476, "activity_lines": [ 38.001999, 37.010363, 37.272238, 38.700365 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }