{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cf57b202-3544-4bd8-83ef-7ac5304cf053",
    "symbol": "EDEN",
    "name": "ISHARES MSCI DENMARK ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 58.16,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 36.208,
    "architecture_energy": 47.502,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.162,
    "architecture_confidence": 38.574,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.35,
        "rotation_up": 56.58,
        "upward_expansion": 56.65,
        "deceleration": 27.62,
        "rotation_down": 24.06,
        "downward_expansion": 17.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        113.771667,
        112.905746,
        111.316077,
        110.03887
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 114.41,
    "trend_reference": 110.059686,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.039527,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 108.903875,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.050559,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.741439,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.008333,
    "excess_performance": -0.133958,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039527,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005469,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050559,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02994,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067414,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034709,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008333,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.466721,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 55391,
      "relative_activity": 1.419138,
      "balance": 0.466721,
      "dry_up": 0.765357,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031089,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.200956,
      "from_high_reference": -0.07349,
      "from_low_reference": 0.184054
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 110.059686,
      "fair_value_reference": 108.903875,
      "structural_low": 96.625622,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.046517,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.0327,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.071201,
        "worst_return": 0.000424,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.029841,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001225,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.175409,
        "worst_return": -0.135389,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.073412,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019569,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.229811,
        "worst_return": -0.038548,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.112555,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.226107,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.179242,
        "worst_return": 0.00098,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.13828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02268,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.045631,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.058381,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.010553,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026007,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.010762,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038759,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.067183,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.070511,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.066378,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.023016,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.036338,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013335,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 79327.4,
        "trend": 98.365312,
        "fair_value": 90.712896,
        "relative_strength": 0.308618,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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      },
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        "relative_strength": -10.030699,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.919389,
        "energy": 27.269017,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 109.707578,
        "volume": 16712,
        "typical_volume": 38345.45,
        "trend": 109.05816,
        "fair_value": 107.949479,
        "relative_strength": -8.89849,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.541917,
        "energy": 24.942476,
        "activity_lines": [
          108.62442,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 110.224664,
        "volume": 61370,
        "typical_volume": 40542.1,
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        "fair_value": 107.997804,
        "relative_strength": -10.212297,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 5.106398,
        "energy": 20.923391,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 108.335791,
        "volume": 32585,
        "typical_volume": 41076.15,
        "trend": 109.18056,
        "fair_value": 108.032124,
        "relative_strength": -11.599907,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 0.038398,
        "energy": 12.86772,
        "activity_lines": [
          109.182911,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 110.564146,
        "volume": 41418,
        "typical_volume": 40485.45,
        "trend": 109.291284,
        "fair_value": 108.101901,
        "relative_strength": -10.147146,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.706951,
        "energy": 19.238834,
        "activity_lines": [
          109.601979,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 110.42507,
        "volume": 151547,
        "typical_volume": 47237.5,
        "trend": 109.461004,
        "fair_value": 108.175708,
        "relative_strength": -11.097032,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.149108,
        "energy": 19.265888,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 107.099934,
        "volume": 23642,
        "typical_volume": 46929.05,
        "trend": 109.583198,
        "fair_value": 108.225624,
        "relative_strength": -11.083335,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -20.519599,
        "energy": 13.438523,
        "activity_lines": [
          109.052576,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 109.081786,
        "volume": 21885,
        "typical_volume": 46418.6,
        "trend": 109.688739,
        "fair_value": 108.272041,
        "relative_strength": -9.434861,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 13.027692,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 45012.85,
        "trend": 109.760518,
        "fair_value": 108.321598,
        "relative_strength": -11.880082,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 17.54569,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 109.23,
        "volume": 9889,
        "typical_volume": 41881.45,
        "trend": 109.808281,
        "fair_value": 108.377308,
        "relative_strength": -7.106437,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.107143,
        "energy": 15.533108,
        "activity_lines": [
          108.278686,
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          108.506486
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 114.67,
        "volume": 11802,
        "typical_volume": 39820.45,
        "trend": 110.008277,
        "fair_value": 108.47827,
        "relative_strength": -4.258294,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.724081,
        "energy": 26.678343,
        "activity_lines": [
          110.343567,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 114.23,
        "volume": 152444,
        "typical_volume": 46236.75,
        "trend": 110.084788,
        "fair_value": 108.555413,
        "relative_strength": -5.587516,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.811954,
        "energy": 43.321971,
        "activity_lines": [
          111.978786,
          110.622352,
          109.062056,
          109.092514
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 115.9563,
        "volume": 16431,
        "typical_volume": 43543.75,
        "trend": 110.258997,
        "fair_value": 108.639279,
        "relative_strength": -2.415918,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 47.508361,
        "energy": 65.492503,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.7141,
          111.698017,
          109.897291,
          109.471322
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 111.7024,
        "volume": 19672,
        "typical_volume": 40670.3,
        "trend": 110.195431,
        "fair_value": 108.713794,
        "relative_strength": -5.075931,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.230103,
        "energy": 60.287065,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.573147,
          111.896035,
          110.281677,
          109.564444
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 113.3188,
        "volume": 27998,
        "typical_volume": 37860.55,
        "trend": 110.17978,
        "fair_value": 108.814537,
        "relative_strength": -4.593481,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.861695,
        "energy": 54.774684,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.626833,
          112.326733,
          110.781348,
          109.765952
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 114.41,
        "volume": 55391,
        "typical_volume": 39031.45,
        "trend": 110.059686,
        "fair_value": 108.903875,
        "relative_strength": -6.741439,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 36.207862,
        "energy": 47.502416,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.771667,
          112.905746,
          111.316077,
          110.03887
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}