{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cf6aa403-8066-4867-94ae-bc82791f1db0", "symbol": "300228", "name": "Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.929, "architecture_energy": 52.732, "architecture_maturity": 42.656, "architecture_confidence": 89.648, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.24, "rotation_up": 20.72, "upward_expansion": 8.28, "deceleration": 56.21, "rotation_down": 53.36, "downward_expansion": 76.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.182667, 7.310545, 7.856422, 8.340052 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.4, "trend_reference": 8.973805, "distance_from_trend": -0.175378, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.392184, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.001057, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.94861, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.284179, "excess_performance": -0.291579, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.175378, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051104, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.001057, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.274719, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.169486, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048476, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.284179, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.741301, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 75483227, "relative_activity": 0.740954, "balance": 0.741301, "dry_up": 0.737663, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102975, "annualized_volatility": 0.438261, "from_high_reference": -0.427562, "from_low_reference": 0.126332 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.973805, "fair_value_reference": 7.392184, "structural_low": 6.57, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.003906, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": -0.001658, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 0.221415, "worst_return": -0.168735, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.07015, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.011091, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.165316, "worst_return": -0.292566, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.001695, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.018653, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.187292, "worst_return": -0.190635, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"gate": "down", "direction": -77.620894, "energy": 62.266227, "activity_lines": [ 7.389333, 7.664158, 8.269575, 8.730783 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.81, "volume": 71772123, "typical_volume": 120869675.6, "trend": 9.163479, "fair_value": 7.37588, "relative_strength": -21.465779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.851009, "energy": 61.874471, "activity_lines": [ 7.168667, 7.433273, 8.082059, 8.574015 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.19, "volume": 60585826, "typical_volume": 108816181.1, "trend": 9.052953, "fair_value": 7.382643, "relative_strength": -15.440982, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.207695, "energy": 56.546126, "activity_lines": [ 7.14, 7.334182, 7.951063, 8.446694 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.4, "volume": 75483227, "typical_volume": 101872987.1, "trend": 8.973805, "fair_value": 7.392184, "relative_strength": -16.94861, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.92902, "energy": 52.731716, "activity_lines": [ 7.182667, 7.310545, 7.856422, 8.340052 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }