{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cf6bb24f-a980-406f-9559-18adb9d57c72", "symbol": "BOL", "name": "Boliden AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 52.274, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.671, "architecture_energy": 59.75, "architecture_maturity": 8.302, "architecture_confidence": 81.26, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.07, "rotation_up": 10.75, "upward_expansion": 12.63, "deceleration": 38.25, "rotation_down": 69.04, "downward_expansion": 88.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 498.813336, 510.959998, 520.270137, 530.730839 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 520.400024, "trend_reference": 549.971435, "distance_from_trend": -0.053769, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 367.649004, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.415481, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.577038, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.148284, "excess_performance": -0.209779, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.053769, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036408, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.415481, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051705, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.04577, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139638, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.148284, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.015084, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5966769, "relative_activity": 1.189271, "balance": 1.015084, "dry_up": 1.200174, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074041, "annualized_volatility": 0.492139, "from_high_reference": -0.268821, "from_low_reference": 0.718837 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 549.971435, "fair_value_reference": 367.649004, 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{ "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 481.399994, "volume": 7808410, "typical_volume": 5124623.0, "trend": 552.229786, "fair_value": 364.933571, "relative_strength": -7.87555, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.544859, "energy": 63.761915, "activity_lines": [ 505.119993, 522.392721, 524.90087, 537.5805 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 476.799988, "volume": 5395342, "typical_volume": 5127115.6, "trend": 551.139977, "fair_value": 366.121038, "relative_strength": -10.419522, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.584601, "energy": 70.321274, "activity_lines": [ 492.693325, 512.178175, 520.192577, 532.714062 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 520.400024, "volume": 5966769, "typical_volume": 5017165.95, "trend": 549.971435, "fair_value": 367.649004, "relative_strength": -4.577038, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.670894, "energy": 59.750247, "activity_lines": [ 498.813336, 510.959998, 520.270137, 530.730839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }