{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cf70c836-90bc-4a17-bce5-6146332d97b5", "symbol": "3552", "name": "Tung Thih Electronic Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.306, "architecture_energy": 50.042, "architecture_maturity": 23.7, "architecture_confidence": 91.964, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.73, "rotation_up": 18.3, "upward_expansion": 8.19, "deceleration": 46.47, "rotation_down": 58.62, "downward_expansion": 81.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.998863, 45.881369, 48.525217, 49.629845 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 45.0, "trend_reference": 51.209226, "distance_from_trend": -0.121252, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 78.859323, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.429364, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -45.555606, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.122091, "excess_performance": -0.563463, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.121252, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10059, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.429364, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048336, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.455556, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042385, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.122091, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.900339, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 374956, "relative_activity": 0.199964, "balance": 0.900339, "dry_up": 0.321784, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085767, "annualized_volatility": 0.374919, "from_high_reference": -0.422897, "from_low_reference": 0.061321 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.209226, "fair_value_reference": 78.859323, "structural_low": 42.400002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.006788, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": -0.022176, "regime_survival": 0.794118, "best_return": 0.400793, "worst_return": -0.179153, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.022027, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.064518, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.249123, "worst_return": -0.239837, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.025648, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.10127, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.318658, "worst_return": -0.279843, "sufficient": true }, { 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"trend": 53.408758, "fair_value": 80.613927, "relative_strength": -45.947182, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.112267, "energy": 74.730224, "activity_lines": [ 46.610622, 48.557615, 50.721215, 51.500436 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.299999, "volume": 593414, "typical_volume": 1910771.25, "trend": 52.884302, "fair_value": 80.143505, "relative_strength": -42.660587, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.409381, "energy": 67.245964, "activity_lines": [ 46.514966, 48.056548, 50.347546, 51.106323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.799999, "volume": 840725, "typical_volume": 1915734.9, "trend": 52.299602, "fair_value": 79.719784, "relative_strength": -44.229383, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.697425, "energy": 65.092877, "activity_lines": [ 45.863048, 47.194492, 49.740494, 50.584755 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.200001, "volume": 604438, "typical_volume": 1896353.1, "trend": 51.701499, "fair_value": 79.284376, "relative_strength": -45.547146, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.667977, "energy": 64.334193, "activity_lines": [ 45.164603, 46.367754, 49.092445, 50.0622 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 45.0, "volume": 374956, "typical_volume": 1875121.5, "trend": 51.209226, "fair_value": 78.859323, "relative_strength": -45.555606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.305645, "energy": 50.041681, "activity_lines": [ 44.998863, 45.881369, 48.525217, 49.629845 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }