{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cf7834bd-efd6-4883-b53d-2a9f0b659711",
    "symbol": "688733",
    "name": "Anhui Estone Materials Technology Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -20.554,
    "architecture_energy": 35.422,
    "architecture_maturity": 51.329,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.67,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.3,
        "rotation_up": 16.76,
        "upward_expansion": 19.0,
        "deceleration": 67.52,
        "rotation_down": 65.2,
        "downward_expansion": 41.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.747334,
        31.864319,
        33.40247,
        32.724516
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 29.01,
    "trend_reference": 32.028138,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.094234,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.77733,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.22007,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.908909,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.028141,
    "excess_performance": 0.015063,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.094234,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045301,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.22007,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.154049,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039089,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.175474,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028141,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.692125,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 28998662,
      "relative_activity": 0.801216,
      "balance": 1.692125,
      "dry_up": 1.265482,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.227757,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.841086,
      "from_high_reference": -0.375457,
      "from_low_reference": 0.496132
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 32.028138,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.77733,
      "structural_low": 21.879999,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.005055,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0063,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.222952,
        "worst_return": -0.136548,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.014773,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019274,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.210201,
        "worst_return": -0.180655,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.059462,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005486,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.022098,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.441384,
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        "worst_return": 0.706696,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "start": "2024-11-29",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.097748,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.058789,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.113718,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.721053,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.064242,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 23.928571,
        "relative_strength": 37.575544,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 36120281.05,
        "trend": 32.321805,
        "fair_value": 23.901968,
        "relative_strength": -7.352238,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.608759,
        "energy": 11.074811,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 25.219999,
        "volume": 51777698,
        "typical_volume": 37481585.8,
        "trend": 32.209471,
        "fair_value": 23.870901,
        "relative_strength": -13.059371,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.046466,
        "energy": 24.025136,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.534667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.280001,
        "volume": 29895173,
        "typical_volume": 36603079.2,
        "trend": 32.027138,
        "fair_value": 23.815074,
        "relative_strength": -13.508323,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.029208,
        "energy": 35.831459,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.565334,
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          33.746775,
          32.91917
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.01,
        "volume": 28998662,
        "typical_volume": 36193331.75,
        "trend": 32.028138,
        "fair_value": 23.77733,
        "relative_strength": -3.908909,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.554138,
        "energy": 35.422146,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.747334,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}