{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cf7a693e-44a0-4bf7-8f7a-f670918b5832",
    "symbol": "002497",
    "name": "Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.943,
    "architecture_energy": 74.679,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.254,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.769,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.08,
        "rotation_up": 12.91,
        "upward_expansion": 17.72,
        "deceleration": 37.78,
        "rotation_down": 69.0,
        "downward_expansion": 91.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.742667,
        18.76871,
        21.182395,
        22.352821
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 18.450001,
    "trend_reference": 23.523262,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.21567,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 14.943826,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.234624,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -15.407636,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.253036,
    "excess_performance": -0.260436,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.21567,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03807,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.234624,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.834126,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.154076,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.491871,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.253036,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.243832,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 176234182,
      "relative_activity": 0.829904,
      "balance": 0.243832,
      "dry_up": 1.128397,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.150558,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.621361,
      "from_high_reference": -0.421874,
      "from_low_reference": 0.390354
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.523262,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.943826,
      "structural_low": 15.87,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": -0.031752,
        "positive_rate": 0.310345,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.655172,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024241,
        "regime_survival": 0.896552,
        "best_return": 0.478589,
        "worst_return": -0.254032,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.115457,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": -0.064527,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.306641,
        "worst_return": -0.20266,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.123895,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.107051,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.344273,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.561766,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.161265,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.593153,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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      },
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 76.425485,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 211926715.7,
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        "fair_value": 14.936908,
        "relative_strength": -19.422287,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 17.530001,
        "volume": 186535531,
        "typical_volume": 212352326.4,
        "trend": 23.733262,
        "fair_value": 14.936019,
        "relative_strength": -15.251699,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.778552,
        "energy": 79.194391,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.450001,
        "volume": 176234182,
        "typical_volume": 212354899.6,
        "trend": 23.523262,
        "fair_value": 14.943826,
        "relative_strength": -15.407636,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.94294,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}