{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cf81e682-ab52-4916-8bc4-2e2e2574e403", "symbol": "TGFI", "name": "TD Active Global Income ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 62.322, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.52, "architecture_energy": 67.914, "architecture_maturity": 4.501, "architecture_confidence": 82.662, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.73, "rotation_up": 9.17, "upward_expansion": 15.24, "deceleration": 37.15, "rotation_down": 73.15, "downward_expansion": 90.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.763267, 19.815656, 19.856295, 19.872339 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 19.780001, "trend_reference": 19.904692, "distance_from_trend": -0.006264, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.843479, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.0497, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.657894, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.010942, "excess_performance": -0.131364, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006264, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000383, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.0497, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021023, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.116579, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01112, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.010942, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.043829, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14000, "relative_activity": 0.805755, "balance": 1.043829, "dry_up": 0.782734, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.005346, "annualized_volatility": 0.034047, "from_high_reference": -0.022963, "from_low_reference": 0.018045 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.904692, "fair_value_reference": 18.843479, 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"direction": -49.209527, "energy": 30.855556, "activity_lines": [ 19.872242, 19.894204, 19.894458, 19.906877 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.74004, "volume": 19400, "typical_volume": 19120.0, "trend": 19.919009, "fair_value": 18.809159, "relative_strength": -10.217899, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.315383, "energy": 58.452772, "activity_lines": [ 19.819718, 19.866369, 19.880806, 19.894942 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.700001, "volume": 7900, "typical_volume": 17840.0, "trend": 19.911334, "fair_value": 18.826391, "relative_strength": -9.582285, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.858359, "energy": 74.245229, "activity_lines": [ 19.770517, 19.83291, 19.86443, 19.880812 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.780001, "volume": 14000, "typical_volume": 17375.0, "trend": 19.904692, "fair_value": 18.843479, "relative_strength": -11.657894, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.519909, "energy": 67.913575, "activity_lines": [ 19.763267, 19.815656, 19.856295, 19.872339 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }