{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cf8ad422-9c94-4431-a1e6-be3a308d24d4", "symbol": "CYVIZ", "name": "Cyviz AS", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.592, "architecture_energy": 53.243, "architecture_maturity": 99.093, "architecture_confidence": 94.143, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 28.59, "upward_expansion": 9.28, "deceleration": 60.68, "rotation_down": 49.72, "downward_expansion": 82.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.586666, 24.661818, 26.56, 28.695054 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 24.299999, "trend_reference": 31.716666, "distance_from_trend": -0.233841, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.182051, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.267676, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.789902, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.373711, "excess_performance": -0.498705, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.233841, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111827, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.267676, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232182, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.367899, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.166464, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.373711, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.022906, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14044, "relative_activity": 0.589585, "balance": 0.022906, "dry_up": 0.353419, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099399, "annualized_volatility": 0.265862, "from_high_reference": -0.414458, "from_low_reference": 0.056522 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.716666, "fair_value_reference": 33.182051, "structural_low": 23.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.003356, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": -0.029982, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.25, "worst_return": -0.161585, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.024914, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.019919, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.15942, "worst_return": -0.267647, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.025, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.055772, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.233333, "worst_return": -0.071839, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 25.0, "volume": 1268, "typical_volume": 28590.05, "trend": 32.616666, "fair_value": 33.316667, "relative_strength": -35.650546, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.252649, "energy": 61.263705, "activity_lines": [ 24.653333, 25.08, 27.493333, 29.720215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.6, "volume": 9146, "typical_volume": 27844.75, "trend": 32.173333, "fair_value": 33.250641, "relative_strength": -36.391832, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.626176, "energy": 56.073874, "activity_lines": [ 24.693333, 24.86, 27.012381, 29.203011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.299999, "volume": 14044, "typical_volume": 23820.15, "trend": 31.716666, "fair_value": 33.182051, "relative_strength": -36.789902, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.592454, "energy": 53.242508, "activity_lines": [ 24.586666, 24.661818, 26.56, 28.695054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }