{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cf90ee27-aaf2-4fc9-b7ca-9a4c913d3ca6", "symbol": "DVLT", "name": "Datavault AI Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.33, "architecture_energy": 55.212, "architecture_maturity": 81.299, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.78, "rotation_up": 26.53, "upward_expansion": 9.15, "deceleration": 48.12, "rotation_down": 53.19, "downward_expansion": 82.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.338107, 0.352151, 0.41958, 0.48652 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.3079, "trend_reference": 0.573937, "distance_from_trend": -0.46353, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.07565, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.966074, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -69.526615, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.63785, "excess_performance": -0.825304, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.46353, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.383853, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.966074, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011816, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.695266, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.178185, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.63785, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.341973, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 242943613, "relative_activity": 1.382681, "balance": 0.341973, "dry_up": 0.610214, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.306516, "annualized_volatility": 0.83559, "from_high_reference": -0.922378, "from_low_reference": 0.266917 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.573937, "fair_value_reference": 9.07565, "structural_low": 0.2716, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 57, "median_return": -0.146898, "positive_rate": 0.245614, "directional_follow_through": 0.754386, "median_excess_return": -0.159284, "regime_survival": 0.947368, "best_return": 2.966317, "worst_return": -0.708311, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.457377, "positive_rate": 0.117647, "directional_follow_through": 0.882353, "median_excess_return": -0.442934, "regime_survival": 0.882353, "best_return": 3.020933, "worst_return": -0.847586, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.59118, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.5633, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.98813, "worst_return": -0.97569, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 0.367367, 0.396945, 0.493179, 0.558068 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.3697, "volume": 66735948, "typical_volume": 193314247.0, "trend": 0.627668, "fair_value": 12.613539, "relative_strength": -62.641751, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.539142, "energy": 53.364243, "activity_lines": [ 0.367793, 0.386118, 0.47485, 0.5402 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.3572, "volume": 57560218, "typical_volume": 187873024.5, "trend": 0.615449, "fair_value": 11.313449, "relative_strength": -62.990674, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.22935, "energy": 49.486292, "activity_lines": [ 0.363207, 0.376155, 0.456945, 0.52275 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.3402, "volume": 61629978, "typical_volume": 185304951.7, "trend": 0.594217, "fair_value": 10.171396, "relative_strength": -64.752973, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.107378, "energy": 49.059208, "activity_lines": [ 0.35624, 0.365962, 0.439015, 0.504992 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.3079, "volume": 242943613, "typical_volume": 175704768.55, "trend": 0.573937, "fair_value": 9.07565, "relative_strength": -69.526615, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.329718, "energy": 55.211921, "activity_lines": [ 0.338107, 0.352151, 0.41958, 0.48652 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }