{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cfa51b2a-9a51-4c98-9427-486fe3d8bbc2", "symbol": "301068", "name": "Hangzhou Dadi Haiyang Environmental Protection Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.038, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.616, "architecture_energy": 37.427, "architecture_maturity": 7.227, "architecture_confidence": 85.481, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.36, "rotation_up": 20.55, "upward_expansion": 4.65, "deceleration": 48.22, "rotation_down": 48.87, "downward_expansion": 75.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.248, 26.272727, 28.153, 29.075914 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 29.0, "trend_reference": 29.483, "distance_from_trend": -0.016382, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.27279, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.24609, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.373857, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.118827, "excess_performance": 0.111427, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.016382, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006381, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.24609, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.312786, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.023739, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008153, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.118827, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.080856, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10750028, "relative_activity": 1.522237, "balance": 1.080856, "dry_up": 1.061458, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128276, "annualized_volatility": 0.723864, "from_high_reference": -0.28004, "from_low_reference": 0.254868 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.483, "fair_value_reference": 23.27279, "structural_low": 23.110001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.006806, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -1.1e-05, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.576487, "worst_return": -0.270912, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.002044, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.00223, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.752503, "worst_return": -0.078939, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.348899, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.18553, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.636819, "worst_return": -0.068019, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.041562, "energy": 29.686702, "activity_lines": [ 27.087333, 27.828545, 30.037333, 30.061957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.959999, "volume": 8476662, "typical_volume": 8363086.35, "trend": 29.504, "fair_value": 23.202532, "relative_strength": -11.318121, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.908504, "energy": 32.828351, "activity_lines": [ 26.860666, 27.236909, 29.559, 29.831462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.48, "volume": 6220986, "typical_volume": 8447751.35, "trend": 29.433333, "fair_value": 23.210614, "relative_strength": -19.40037, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.73178, "energy": 35.654839, "activity_lines": [ 25.807333, 26.368363, 28.86, 29.442817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.139999, "volume": 4536365, "typical_volume": 7835613.1, "trend": 29.393667, "fair_value": 23.224711, "relative_strength": -15.033578, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.659541, "energy": 47.1261, "activity_lines": [ 25.240666, 25.803454, 28.250857, 29.101312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.0, "volume": 10750028, "typical_volume": 7061995.3, "trend": 29.483, "fair_value": 23.27279, "relative_strength": -2.373857, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.616058, "energy": 37.427251, "activity_lines": [ 26.248, 26.272727, 28.153, 29.075914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }